Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 6,504.8 -1.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 45,480.4 -2.2%

• NASDAQ 21,611.0 -2.1%

• Russell 2000 2,431.6 -1.9%

• NYSE FANG+ 14,185.6 -2.9%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 247.7 -3.5%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 29.46 -3.6%

• Wilshire 5000 64,227.9 -1.9%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,301.4 -2.4%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,080.2 -1.3%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 912.1 -4.2%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 248.4 +2.5%
  

• NYSE Technology 6,841.3 -1.9%

• Transports 17,765.7 +.2%

• Utilities 1,128.6 -4.5%

• MSCI Europe Banks 105.9 -.7%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 55.8 -2.0%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 251.73 -.91%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 132.30 -.1%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 598,553 -.3%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 7.1 -4.2%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -588 -342

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -25.1 -20.0%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 228,015 +32.5%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,051,321 -1.1%

• Total Put/Call .95 +6.8%

• OEX Put/Call 1.33 +33.3%

• ISE Sentiment 120.0 -8.6%

• NYSE Arms .66 -5.9%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 101.5 +4.5%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .24 -14.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .96 -29.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 27.9 -.2%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .86 -47.9%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 30.2 +9.2%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.47 -.8%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.80 +1.6%

• Smart Money Flow Index 20,532.6 -1.5%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  60.2 -6.8

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.856 Trillion +.5%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$1.338 Million

• AAII % Bulls 30.4 -4.7%

• AAII % Bears 52.0 +12.1%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 17.0 (EXTREME FEAR) -4.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 364.2 -.2%

• Crude Oil $98.3/bbl. +7.7%
• 1-Year Crude $75.97/bbl. +4.9%

• Reformulated Gasoline 331.5 +7.6%

• Natural Gas 3.10 -1.2%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 74.9 USD/Megawatt +1.6% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 59.3 euros/megawatt-hour +18.2%
  

• Heating Oil 467.0 +16.1% 
• Newcastle Coal 146.8 (1,000/metric ton) +6.4%

• Gold 4,512.2 -9.7%
• Silver 68.3 -14.8%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 161.5 -5.5%

• Copper 533.3 -5.8%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 380.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.5%

• China Iron Ore Spot 107.7 USD/Metric Tonne +5.3%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 23,625.0 USD/metric tonne +11.1%
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 67.6 -.7%  

• CME Lumber 609.0 +1.7%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,375.4 +1.0%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 305.0 USD/Short Ton +.8%
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 660.0 USD/Short Ton +9.5% 

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 Forecast +2.3% -.4 percentage point

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 18.5 -9.1 percentage points

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.6 -2.6%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 248.8 -35.5% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 100.0 +6.0
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 95.0% +3.0 percentage points

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 388.0 -10.8%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.0 -.3
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(9 of 500 reporting) +103.6% n/a

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 332.43 +6.88:  Growth Rate +19.7% +2.5 percentage points, P/E 19.9 -.6
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 14.97% +19.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +28.1% unch.
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 529.42 +4.15: Growth Rate +33.1% +1.1 percentage points, P/E 27.4 -.9

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 28.2 +1.0 point

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -9.0 -15.3 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 53.0 +12.2 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-5.8 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 87.6%(-6.5 percentage points) chance of no change, 12.4%(+12.4 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 4/29

• US Dollar Index 99.5 -1.0%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,844.4 +.01%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 69,594.4 -2.6%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 209.6 +1.0%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.76 -.41%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 49.25 -9.25 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.38% +27.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.54% +13.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.609 Trillion +.15%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.902 Billion +1.0%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.0 +3.1%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 209.3 +6.1%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 91.0 +15.0 basis points
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.0 +15.1%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 52.0 +4.9%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 149.6 +6.1%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 84.3 +2.0%
• Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 88.7 +27.0%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.5 +16.2%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 23.85 -1.5%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 111.66 -6.2%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.8% -10.0 basis points
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.9% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.83% unch.: CPI YoY +3.02% +15.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 5.32 +86.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.39 +4.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 10.0 +8.25 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -15.5 +2.25 basis points

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.0 -.5 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 65.3 +5.7% (new series)
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 71.6 +2.0%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 123.0 -23.4%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 531.4 -2.2% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 259.0 -18.0 
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 77.6 +12.6%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 195.6 +27.1%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 124.0 +3.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 585.0 -3.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .51 +2.0 basis points

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.3% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,395.3B -1.0%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 210,750 -.4%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.9 -1.8%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.35% +18.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 347,100 -10.9%

• Weekly Retail Sales +6.3% +10.0 basis points
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +11.0% +3.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $125.1M -11.9%

• Nationwide Gas $3.91/gallon +.28/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 2,057.0 +1.4%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,172.3/40 ft Box +2.3%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,120.6 +4.5%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 245.0 -24.6%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 131.7 +4.6%

• Rail Freight Carloads 280,438 -.94%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,817,785 +9.7% 
• US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 90.7 +.2  
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% +1.0 percentage point

Best Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Growth -.1%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -1.7%

Leading Sectors

• Energy +5.0%

• Shipping +4.8%
• Oil Service +4.4%

• AI/Innovation +2.1%
  

• Networking +1.4%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Foods -3.8%

• Social Media -3.9%
  

• Homebuilding -4.2%

• Nuclear -4.9%
  

• Gold & Silver -13.5%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (34)

• YSS, PL, NSP, SEDG, VG, SM, SCHL, ETON, TALO, CRK, ARX, CAL, SPIR, DELL, CDNL, FLY, CRGY, BWIN, BCRX, MTDR, INR, BKSY, GLNG, REPX, BKSY, LPLA, APA, FCN, SNDX, OKE and T

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (79)

• MIRM, DMRA, DFH, TTAM, BHP, SMTC, RIO, FNV, BLD, ASIX, CIM, HSBC, TT, LTC, ES, DHI, AMT, GFI, PONY, LOGI, DX, VITL, OR, CCEP, OR, ALM, VITL, WPM, SNDA, WELL, QDEL, NGG, FNF, UFPI, CGAU, SAP, APG, BKH, GLW, BETA, TRDA, KLAR, DMRA, STM, NWE, TECK, CRWD, ASML, EMBJ, NLY, RRX, BETA, EPR, TRDA, CACC, UEC, LE, GPRE, EQPT, ARR, IPX, HNRG, EH, XPEV, GDS, ELE, MOS, DY, AEHR, VST, SPXC, FLOC, PICS, AAOI, UMAC and SMCI

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change