Tuesday, June 07, 2005

Tuesday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Fed Chairman Greenspan said the "unusual" decline in long-term US Treasury yields still can't be full explained and that hedge funds may be over-reaching as they search for higher returns.
- CNOOC Ltd, China's third-largest oil producer, said it may bid for US-based Unocal Corp., rivaling a $16 billion offer by Chevron.
- People's Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said the government plans to introduce new policies to spur consumer spending to help eliminate a trade surplus that's fueling tensions with the US and Europe.
- GM's CEO Wagoner is facing growing calls from investors to close plants as the world's largest automaker loses market share to rivals such as Toyota Motor.

Wall Street Journal:
- European Union regulators dropped for the time being a threat to fine Microsoft as much as $5 million a day for failing to comply with orders to open its markets to competitors.

AP:
- Pakistan sent Libyan terrorism suspect Abu Faraj al-Libbi, accused of planning two assassination attempts against President Pervez Musharraf, to the US.

Financial Times:
- Morgan Stanley senior banker David Topper has joined JPMorgan Chase as co-head of equity capital markets.

Chosun Ilbo:
- South Korea's steel imports from China more than tripled in the first four months of the year to 2.7 million metric tons.

Standard:
- Shanghai's real estate developers and homebuyers owed banks $42 billion at the end of 2004, a 41% increase from a year earlier.

China Daily:
- China's textile exporters will probably use up the quotas imposed by the US by the end of July as they rush to deliver existing orders to customers.

Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Goldman Sachs:
- Reiterated Outperform on LRY and AIG.
- Reiterated Underperform on HRB and AMAT.

Night Trading
Asian Indices are -.50% to +.25% on average.
S&P 500 indicated +.12%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.16%.

Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Consumer/Investor Daily Indices
CNBC Guest Schedule

Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
ABS/.27
ALOG/2.12
COO/.74
OLG/.46

Splits
CVS 2-for-1

Economic Releases
3:00 EST:
- Consumer Credit for April is estimated to rise to $7.4B versus $5.5B in March.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower on weakness in semiconductor shares after negative comments from Merrill Lynch. I expect US equities to open modestly higher on more Fed "pause" optimism and lower energy prices. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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