Thursday, June 20, 2013

Stocks Dropping into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, China Credit Crunch, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.44 +22.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.32 +.49%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.0 +8.70%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.87 +8.81%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 42.0 -55.32%
  • Total Put/Call 1.31 +20.18%
  • NYSE Arms .61 -72.51% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 93.80 +9.44%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 173.57 +13.10%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 94.0 +4.44%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 378.18 +8.30%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.25 +2.25 bps
  • TED Spread 23.25 +.75 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.50 -.5 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 206.0 +3 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $120.60/Metric Tonne +.5%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.90 +1.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -44.80 +.6 point 
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.97 -7 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -75 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -41 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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