Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Central Bank Worries, Rising Global Growth Fears, Technical Selling, Homebuilder/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.17 -2.65%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.02 +.64%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.55 +4.15%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.49 -3.8%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 -2.08%
  • Total Put/Call 1.08 +25.58%
  • NYSE Arms 1.13 +91.93% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 86.28 +5.51%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 153.45 -1.68%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 90.0 +3.45%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 351.23 +8.61%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 22.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.0 -.5 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 203.0 +10 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $120.0/Metric Tonne +1.95%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.10 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -45.40 +.8 point 
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.04 -4 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +115 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -42 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/retail/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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