Monday, June 24, 2013

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, Rising Asian/Eurozone Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Commodity/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.61 +3.76%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.65 -.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.79 +.68%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.11 +4.20%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 70.0 -10.26%
  • Total Put/Call .99 -14.66%
  • NYSE Arms 1.19 +29.39% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 96.99 +3.18%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 190.19 +5.39%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 95.50 +.53%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 369.30 -2.1%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.5 -.5 bp
  • TED Spread 23.5 -.25 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.75 +.25 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 217.0 +1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $116.60/Metric Tonne -1.69%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.10 +3.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -38.60 +5.1 points 
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 -2 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +160 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +46 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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