Thursday, September 12, 2013

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Rising Syria/Russia Tensions, Reversal Higher in Long-Term Rates, Profit-Taking, Commodity/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.24 +3.04%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.86 -.56%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.39 -.48%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.30 +5.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 92.0 -.20%
  • Total Put/Call .84 -8.70%
  • NYSE Arms 1.10 +54.17% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 77.35 +1.74%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 138.09 +3.53%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 90.0unch.
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 309.90 +1.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 24.50 +.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 247.0 +1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $135.20/Metric Tonne +.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 56.80 +3.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 3.80 +7.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.11 -2 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -37 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, added to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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