Tuesday, February 04, 2014

Stocks Rebounding into Final Hour on Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Yen Weakness, Financial/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.22 -12.22%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.21 +.53%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.87 -4.27%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.33 -2.99%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 147.0 +50.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +31.25%
  • NYSE Arms .77 -76.45% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.71 -2.45%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 101.20 -2.25%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.68 +1.24%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 115.71 -3.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 332.06 -4.12%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 18.50 -3.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.0 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 231.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $122.60/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 31.10 -1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 11.0 -2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +329 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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