Friday, February 07, 2014

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Lower Long-Term Rates, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Biotech/Pharma Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.24 -11.55%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.42 +.44%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.36 -1.27%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.93 -4.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 133.0 +44.57%
  • Total Put/Call .82 -6.83%
  • NYSE Arms .81 +24.83% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.78 -2.73%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 93.80 -1.52%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 53.0 -2.41%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 111.04 -.72%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 325.44 -.18%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 361.89 -.77%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.25 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.75 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 237.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $120.90/Metric Tonne -.08%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 23.60 -1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.80 +.9 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 +3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +235 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +38 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered all of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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