Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Yen Strength, Higher Long-Term Rates, Healthcare/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.47 -.28%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.26 -.50%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.84 -1.89%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.95 +1.35%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 161.0 +85.06%
  • Total Put/Call .85 +1.19%
  • NYSE Arms 1.35 +107.23% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.43 -.25%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 90.14 +.65%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 53.28 +.54%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 106.08 -.38%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 322.83 +.59%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 356.68 -1.39%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.0 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 242.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $121.0/Metric Tonne +.83%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 25.90 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 21.10 +8.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -35 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +4 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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