Monday, March 03, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Russia/Ukraine Crisis, Rising Emerging Markets/European Debt Angst, Yen Strength, Tech/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.0 +14.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.30 -.84%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.10 +4.0%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.20 +3.31%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 109.0 -.91%
  • Total Put/Call .90 +9.76%
  • NYSE Arms 1.63 +46.45% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.10 +2.59%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.39 +6.82%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 51.01 -2.52%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 102.94 +1.91%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 320.52 +4.80%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 359.99 -1.36%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.25 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 229.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $117.70/Metric Tonne -.34%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -15.30 -1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.70 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -155 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

1 comment:

theyenguy said...


World Stocks, VT, traded 1.4%, lower as Bloomberg reports Yen hits 1-Month high as Putin sparks haven asset demand. Sectors trading lower included, PICK -3.8%, SOCL -2.4, FLM -2.3, PBS -1.4, PNQI -1.3, IGV -1.1

Nation Investment, EFA, traded 2.1%, lower as AFP reports Russian markets nosedive as Ukraine panic takes hold. Nations trading lower included, RSX, -7.0%, ERUS, -7.7, EPOL, -6.5, EGPT, -5.2, GULF, -4.2, EDEN, -3.9, EWO, -3.6, EWG, -3.5, EWI, -3.4, GREK, -3.3, GERJ, -3.1, EWD, -3.0, EWN, -2.9, PGAL, -2.8, EFNL, -2.7, with European Financials, EUFN, -2.7%, European Smal Cap Dividend, DFE -3.2, and Eurozone Stocks, EZU, -3.0