Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Diminishing Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Transport/Financial Sector Strength
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
- Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 14.35 -10.31%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.48 +.76%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.93 -2.19%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.60 -4.32%
- ISE Sentiment Index 132.0 +21.10%
- Total Put/Call .81 -10.0%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.82 -3.77%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 88.39 -4.46%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 51.67 +1.29%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 99.50 -3.81%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 303.93 -5.27%
- China Blended Corporate Spread Index 366.77 +1.89%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 13.5 -.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% unch.
- Yield Curve 236.0 +7.0 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $116.80/Metric Tonne -.76%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -18.70 -3.4 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.40 -.3 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.19 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +244 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating -25 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Lower: On losses in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added some back
- Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
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