Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Rising European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 27.38 -.90%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.72 +.06%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.96 +.15%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 66.38 -.42%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 77.0 +45.28%
  • Total Put/Call 1.41 -1.40%
  • NYSE Arms .75 -66.73% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 92.93 +.42%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,098.0 +.02%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 96.75 +.12%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.22 +3.88%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 92.56 +1.07%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 404.08 +1.28%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.60 -.18%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.0 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.75 -4.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.31 +.27%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00 +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 141.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.05/Metric Tonne -1.42%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -20.40 +3.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 35.80 +14.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -25.6 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.40 +1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.59 +.17
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +245 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -55 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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