Friday, September 11, 2015

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Lower Long-Term Rates, Technical Buying, Restaurant/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 24.53 +.66%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.79 +.50%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.64 -1.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.46 -.51%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 +10.96%
  • Total Put/Call 1.39 +17.80%
  • NYSE Arms 1.27 +62.55% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 79.73 -.11%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,905.0 +.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 82.21 +.91%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.47 +1.80%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 86.33 +1.05%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 354.03 +.62%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 117.86 +.52%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.5 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 31.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.0 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 148.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.01/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.2 -5.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.6 +1.6 poins
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.8 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.59 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 3.95 -.03
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -119 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -157 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +26 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges 
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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