Friday, December 04, 2015

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Diminished Global Growth Fears, Central Bank Hopes, Seasonal Optimism, Financial/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.44 -14.74%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.76 -.27%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.64 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.70 -3.60%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 141.0 +78.48%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -22.52%
  • NYSE Arms 1.15 +52.40% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.95 -1.10%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,334.0 +3.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 71.50 +.53%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.74 +2.16%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.86 -.58%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 339.27 -.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 123.87 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.0 +2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 23.75 +2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -35.25 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.61 -.15%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .21% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 133.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $40.03/Metric Tonne -1.77%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -25.80 -4.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 19.10 +1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.1 +1.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.63 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 1.61 -.03
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +171 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -144 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +89 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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