Thursday, February 02, 2017

Stocks Sightly Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Outlooks, Yen Strength, Profit-Taking, Telecom/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.0 +1.61%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.71 -.53%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.42 -1.51%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.05 +.99%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 +10.13%
  • Total Put/Call .99 +7.61%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 -6.79%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.73 -.26%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 393.0 -2.64%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 88.87 -1.65%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.89 +1.96%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.20 -.32%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 229.17 -2.58%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.49 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 30.0 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 53.75 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.25 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.16 +.45%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .50% unch.
  • Yield Curve 127.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $83.34/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 39.40 unch.
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 57.30 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 43.70 +6.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.05 -1.0 basis point
  • 48.6% chance of Fed rate hike at May 3 meeting, 71.4% chance at June 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +130 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +109 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my in my biotech/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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