Friday, February 03, 2017

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Economic Optimism, Deregulation Hopes, Technical Buying, Financial/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.93 -8.38%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.82 +.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.42 +.29%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.93 +6.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 +24.1%
  • Total Put/Call .97 -8.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.26 +17.65%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.40 -1.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 372.0 -5.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 86.80 -2.33%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.04 +.61%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.14 -3.31%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 224.23 -2.58%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.68 +.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 30.75 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 53.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -28.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.42 +.36%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .50% unch.
  • Yield Curve 127.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $82.19/Metric Tonne +1.38-
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 45.30 +6.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 55.90 -1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 38.0 -5.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.05 unch.
  • 44.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 3 meeting, 68.8% chance at June 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +207 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +94 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my in my biotech/tech/retail/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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