Monday, July 03, 2017

Stocks Mostly Higher into Afternoon on Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Yen Weakness, Energy/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.43 -6.7%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.40 +.31%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.85 +.90%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.54 +1.4%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 -20.5%
  • Total Put/Call .84 -24.32%
  • NYSE Arms .87 -22.67%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.48 -1.17%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 462.0 +.71%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.0 -1.49%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 6.19 -8.78%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.07 -1.98%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 200.47 -.62%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 139.71 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.50 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.0 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.67 -.43%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.02% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 93.0 +1.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $64.29/Metric Tonne -1.02%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -63.30 +9.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 29.40 -.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 11.0 -.9 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.76 +2.0 basis points
  • 31.2% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 20 meeting, 34.0% chance at Nov. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +144 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -86 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -26 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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