Tuesday, August 15, 2017

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Yen Weakness, Technical Buying, Financial/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.94 -3.16%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.34 +.45%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.72 -1.03%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 32.75 -1.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 64.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .95 +13.1%
  • NYSE Arms .88 -23.14%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.64 -.45%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 447.0 +.15%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.64 -.29%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 5.50 +1.38%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.30 -2.56%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 188.59 -1.04%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 140.94 -.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.50 unch.
  • TED Spread 30.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -28.0 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.56 -.12%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 92.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $73.68/Metric Tonne -1.38%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -25.80 +9.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 10.10 -2.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.30 +.9 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.79 +1.0 basis point
  • 17.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 1 meeting, 48.8% chance at Dec. 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -12 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -25 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +25 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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