Friday, April 27, 2018

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Lower Long-Term Rates, Technical Buying, Retail/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.72 -3.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.59 -.11%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.33 -1.65%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.7 +6.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 -12.39%
  • Total Put/Call .88 +6.0%
  • NYSE Arms .98 -8.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.17 -.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 404.0 -1.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.45 +.82%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 117.0 +1.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 11.92 -3.68%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 140.55 -1.77%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 149.44 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 55.25 +2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.0 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.64 +.32%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.81% unch.
  • Yield Curve 48.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 65.54 USD/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 46.0 +7.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -83.40 +1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 8.7 -.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 -1.0 basis point
  • 92.0% chance of Fed rate hike at June 13 meeting, 92.3% chance at August 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +13  open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +48 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +24 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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