Friday, January 15, 2010

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:

- A dozen U.S. real estate investment trusts, part of an industry that raised $33 billion last year, likely will increase their next quarterly dividends. Public Storage(PSA), Annaly Capital Management Inc.(NLY), and Inland Real Estate Corp.(IRC) are among those that may boost payouts, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Vornado Realty Trust(VNO) said this week it would resume paying its dividend fully in cash after a year of issuing it partially in stock.

- Paul Volcker, the former Federal Reserve chairman advising the Obama administration, said bank lobbyists are promoting “reform light” and blocking regulatory changes that would stave off future crises. “If you agree, make your voices heard somehow or another,” Volcker, 82, said yesterday at the Economic Club of New York, whose members include bankers, hedge-fund managers, economists, lawyers and former government officials. Almost 1,200 people attended the lunch, according to Jan Hopkins, the club’s president. “There is heavy lobbying on the other side, and that has to be overcome.”

- U.S. interest-rate swap spreads mostly narrowed, with the two-year decreasing to the least since 2003, amid a continued rise in corporate debt issuance and as implied yields on Eurodollar futures declined. The difference between the two-year swap rate and the similar-maturity Treasury note yield, known as the swap spread, contracted as much as 1 basis point to 25.13 basis points, before trading at 26.19 basis points. The spread is partly based on expectations for the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, and is used as a measure of investor perceptions of credit risk.

- Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd has indicated he may consider dropping the Consumer Financial Protection Agency from the financial regulatory overhaul bill he is drafting with members of his panel, according to people familiar with negotiations.

- Corporate credit quality is improving at the fastest pace in almost three years, underpinning the surge in bond sales as economies rebound. Moody’s Investors Service is upgrading more U.S. companies than it’s downgrading for the first time since the second quarter of 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Ford Motor Co.(F) sold $500 million of bonds yesterday after Fitch Ratings raised the carmaker’s ratings by two levels.

- Walgreen Co.(WAG) plans to offer fresh foods, including salads and cut fruit, and prepared meals to draw “time-starved” shoppers to its more than 7,000 stores. The drugstore chain has been talking with foodmakers including Unilever NV, Nestle SA, Sara Lee Corp. about creating private-label and branded products for “tonight’s meal,” said Bryan Pugh, vice president of merchandising.

- Bank of America Corp.(BAC), the biggest U.S. lender, said late payments on credit-card loans fell to the lowest level in almost a year, signaling that damage to consumers from the recession may be abating. Loans at least 30 days overdue, an indicator of future write-offs, fell to 7.44 percent in December, the least since last January, according to data in a regulatory filing by the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank today. Delinquencies of 30 to 59 days, the earliest gauge of overdue loans, fell to 1.8 percent, the lowest in more than a year.


Wall Street Journal:

- The first signs of food, medicine and other international aid began trickling in to the devastated Haitian capital on Friday, even as despair grew among the survivors of this week's deadly earthquake. In neighborhoods where the aid began to arrive, Haitians swarmed to find help and medical supplies. Outside Haiti's national public-health laboratory, scores of wounded pleaded to get inside, where a squad of Belgian first-responders and Canadian military medics had set up a temporary field hospital. People carried injured relatives on makeshift gurneys. One the sidewalk outside the gates, a teenage girl lay on a filthy mattress, near an old woman on a table with a crumpled umbrella shielding a bleeding knee. A young man, eyes wide with terror, was carried by compatriots on a piece of plywood. His distended leg was swollen and leaking pus.

- Want to help victims of the earthquake in Haiti? Aid organizations need your assistance, but warn that well-intentioned efforts like collecting bottled water and clothing on your own may not be the most helpful thing for a disaster-ravaged country that does not have the infrastructure to distribute them. Some tips from InterAction, a coalition of U.S.-based international non-governmental organizations:

- The International Energy Agency on Friday modestly revised down its forecast for world oil demand and said the big overhang in unused crude, a buffer against higher prices, was likely to persist unless economic activity increases.

- On average, the 56 surveyed economists, not all of whom answer every question, expect the government will report later this month that gross domestic product grew 4.3% in the fourth quarter at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, up from the 2.2% recorded in the third quarter of 2009. GDP expansion is expected to slow to around 3% throughout this year. They put just a 16% chance that the economy will enter another recession in 2010. A lot of the fourth-quarter gain is seen coming from companies rebuilding inventories or trimming them at a slower rate, which could contribute up to three percentage points to growth. As 2010 wears on, it remains unclear whether there is enough demand in the economy to create significant growth, especially as the impact of fiscal stimulus wanes and the Federal Reserve begins to curtail its emergency programs in the second half of the year.


CNBC:

- Just as regulators, lawmakers and all forms of financial oversight boards are talking about new regulations to guard against mortgage fraud and another mortgage meltdown, there appears to be yet a new mortgage fraud out there today, allegedly perpetuated by agents of, yes, the big banks.

- The U.S. economy will expand at a decent clip this year as a recovery in housing and consumer spending offset troubles in commercial real estate, Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said Friday.


NY Times:

- The military’s defenses against threats from inside its own ranks are outdated and ineffective, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said on Friday as he described the findings of a Pentagon review of the Nov. 5 shooting spree at Fort Hood, Texas.


NY Post:

- Former Major League All- Star Lenny Dykstra looks like he is in for a crash landing. Airplane leasing company Avantair is trying to force him out of his latest lodgings -- offices in their Camarillo, Calif., hangar. The company, which advertised in his defunct Players Club magazine, managed to have Dykstra's sublease voided because he hadn't paid a penny of rent since signing the agreement in September 2008. But a new filing by Avantair claims that the bankrupt Dykstra "proceeded to move in additional personal belongings and other items to the office premises." The lawsuit claims that Dykstra told Avantair's attorneys that the sheriff would have to drag him out.


FoxNews:

- J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.'s (JPM) fourth-quarter profit remained solidly tied to its business with Wall Street, while its business with Main Street continued to struggle with delinquent loans. The $2 trillion-asset bank's fourth-quarter earnings quadrupled as the banking giant closed out a year in which it made it through the financial crisis more strongly than its rivals. Though its $3.3 billion profit fell 9% from the third quarter, J.P. Morgan beat analyst expectations with a clean quarter almost free of one-time items.


BostonHerald:

- Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows. Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos. “It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.” The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the state’s attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided. Paleologos said bellwether models show high numbers of independent voters turning out on election day, which benefits Brown, who has 65 percent of that bloc compared to Coakley’s 30 percent. Kennedy earns just 3 percent of the independent vote, and 1 percent are undecided. Given the 4.4-point margin of error, the poll shows Coakley could win the race, Paleologos said. But if Brown’s momentum holds, he is poised to succeed the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy - and to halt health-care reform, the issue the late senator dubbed “the cause of my life.” Yet even in the bluest state, it appears Kennedy’s quest for universal health care has fallen out of favor, with 51 percent of voters saying they oppose the “national near-universal health-care package” and 61 percent saying they believe the government cannot afford to pay for it. The poll, conducted Monday through Wednesday, surveyed 500 registered likely voters who knew the date of Tuesday’s election. It shows Brown leading all regions of the state except Suffolk County.


The Business Insider:

- China uber-bear Jim Chanos adds some thoughts to the Chinese real estate bubble story: Owning your own home is fast becoming the number one goal — and fear — of the working and middle-classes of China. Compounded by the fact that there are few modern public or private pension plans for retired workers, this “nation of frugal savers” has made the bet of a lifetime (literally) on already over-priced residential real estate — often with accumulated family savings. If it turns out that foreign “hot money” and Party insiders have been the sellers (or more accurately, the “flippers”), while the workers have been the buyers, the potential for social unrest will soar. More importantly, confidence in Beijing’s economic “Miracle” and its mandarins will soon shatter as investors around the world realize that Chinese policymakers learned nothing from the West’s crisis of just a few years ago.

- Yesterday our colleague Graham Winfrey reported that Exxon had just added 25 years of life and 40 million barrels of oil to what was thought to be a pretty dead Texas oil field. We'd like to add an additional angle to the analysis -- For this new project, Exxon plans to invest only $340 million. This means that for just $8.5 per barrel Exxon has discovered another 40 million barrels of recoverable oil in a 70-year old field right within its own backyard. More importantly, the latest project is an experiment, using some of the latest extraction technology. If it succeeds, it could be applied to other old U.S. oil fields. For just $8.5 per barrel. It's further evidence of how technology works wonders at solving energy problems, and that with the right technology there's far more oil out there than most of us can imagine, especially in a world where $50 oil is considered cheap.


Washington Times:

- Superlobbyist Paul Magliocchetti, the focus of a federal criminal investigation, held an ownership interest in three small, privately held companies that his lobbying firm had helped obtain millions of federal tax dollars in congressional earmarks. In effect, he was trying to profit twice from his firm's success in getting members of Congress to set aside, or earmark, tax money for his clients in annual appropriations bills by collecting hefty lobbying fees from the companies and, at the same time, hoping to make money by investing in their stock.


StarTribune.com:

- A long-simmering dispute between North Dakota and Minnesota appears to be coming to a head. North Dakota Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem is saying he very likely will sue Minnesota over its so-called "carbon tax" on emissions, calling it an illegal attempt to regulate another state's industry. "We simply feel that we've been forced into this posture," Stenehjem said in an interview this week. "We have attempted everything we can think of to work with officials in Minnesota."


Houston Chronicle:

- His health care bill at stake, President Barack Obama plans a weekend trip to Massachusetts to campaign for endangered Senate candidate Martha Coakley after a poll showed an edge for Republicans in the race for a seat Democrats have held for over a half-century. The White House said he will travel there Sunday. "If Scott Brown wins, it'll kill the health bill," Democrat Barney Frank, D-Mass., said, underscoring the stakes of Tuesday's special election.


Politico:

- Twenty Republican governors and governors-elect are accusing the White House of providing too little transparency on health care, causing worry that “deals” are being cut without their input. In a letter sent Wednesday to the congressional leaders of both parties, the governors wrote that they are “disappointed with the lack of transparency” as health care moves forward. “We urge you not to circumvent the normal committee process and to conduct an open, fully bipartisan negotiation,” the governors wrote. “It is time to slow down and pass meaningful health care reform, not hastily prepared partisan legislation which omits reform and saddles American taxpayers for generations to come.”

- Democrats moved closer to a final deal on health care reform Thursday — and for some vulnerable members, the end can’t come soon enough. In an emotional talk with other Democrats on the Ways and Means Committee this week, North Dakota Rep. Earl Pomeroy said the protracted debate is hurting him so badly back home that he might as well retire if it drags on much longer. A Democrat who attended the Ways and Means session said Pomeroy was “very angry” as he spoke about the delay. “Other folks were upset, but he was the maddest by far.” “I believe Congress needs to resolve fairly quickly this protracted health care debate,” Pomeroy told POLITICO on Thursday.


Real Clear Politics:

- What happens when the irresistible force of the Democratic urge to tax runs up against the immovable object of Democratic loyalty to the labor unions? Another ugly deal in a health-care bill that already was a grotesquerie of pay offs to favored politicians and interests. The levy in question is a 40 percent excise tax on high-end employer-provided insurance plans that - typically - has been sold as a tax on "the rich." It's called the "Cadillac tax," a name redolent of corporate executives cackling in their Escalades over their cushy benefits. The unions, which make it a point to negotiate generous insurance plans with their employers (to the point of bankrupting them), were chagrined to learn that for purposes of this tax, they're among the rich. They howled in terms that could have been drawn from Henry Hazlitt's free-market classic, Economics in One Lesson: The Shortest and Surest Way to Understand Basic Economics. The excise tax is supposed to be paid by evil insurers and employers. Except in this one case affecting their self-interest directly, the unions see through the fiction and understand that the tax will trickle down onto them. How disorienting to hear unions implicitly recognize that corporations ultimately don't pay taxes, their customers and employees do. "While the excise tax is slated to be imposed on the insurers on so-called high cost plans, the tax will be passed on to enrollees in the form of higher premiums, co-pays or reduced benefits," a coalition of public-employee unions wrote congressional leaders. "Characterizing this tax proposal as a ‘Cadillac tax' is a misnomer. It hits the average blue collar and white collar employee."


Benzinga:

- Below are the top 5 large-cap technology stocks on the NASDAQ and the NYSE in terms of cash.


USAToday:

- The Obama administration is considering a trial in Washington for one of the most notorious Guantanamo Bay terrorism suspects. Officials tell the Associated Press that Hambali, an Indonesian linked to Osama bin Laden, is one of several detainees being considered for Washington trials. Others are being considered for New York City. Hambali is the suspected mastermind of a 2002 Bali nightclub bombing that killed 202 people.


Reuters:

- A weekly gauge of future U.S. economic growth continued its climb in the latest week, though its yearly growth rate dropped again, a research group said on Friday. The steady upticks in the leading index suggest, however, an enduring smooth recovery, the Economic Cycle Research Institute said. The New York-based independent forecasting group said its Weekly Leading Index climbed to an 82-week high of 132.1 for the week ended Jan. 8, from an upwardly revised 131.6 the previous week, which was originally reported as 131.5. The index's annualized growth rate edged down to a 17-week low of 23.5 percent from 23.8 percent the previous week, which was also revised higher from 23.6 percent.

- Fertilizer is increasingly being sold in spot deals rather than long-term contracts as buyers prefer to play safe while the global economic outlook remains uncertain, the chief executive of Mosaic Co (MOS) said on Thursday. "It's effectively becoming a spot market," said CEO Jim Prokopanko of the leading global producer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, which is majority owned by the private food giant Cargill Inc [CARG.UL]. "We're prepared to sell that way. But if it's a spot market, it's definitely going to be a different price" than a long-term contract, he told Reuters in an interview at Mosaic's "Ag College" in Orlando this past week to educate customers about trends for 2010.

- A 'crisis tax' proposed by the Obama administration would cut substantially into bank earnings across Europe and could sidetrack the sector's recovery, analysts and industry officials said on Friday. While there is little clarity over the practical effect of the levy, many questioned its fairness given that the European banks it would affect did not get bailouts in the United States and lack many of the guarantees their U.S. competitors received. Under the proposal made on Thursday, financial institutions with balance sheets above $50 billion would be assessed a fee equal to 0.15 percent of certain assets. About 15 international firms fall under that umbrella. Europe's three biggest economies were quick to distance themselves from the proposal.


Globe and Mail:

- The new cheap stock on the block: Apple(AAPL). Its 33 P/E is about to drop significantly to 13 because of an accounting-method change and will set up the opportunity of 2010.

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
Small-Cap Growth (-1.85%)

Sector Underperformers:
Airlines (-3.23%), Semis (-3.15%) and Gold (-2.42%)

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:

BTM, CREE, TSRA, DB, UBS, ASYS, CSIQ, XRTX, NETC, CAAS, MELA, AZZ, SLM and AYR


Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) MRO 2) PASS 3) CTIC 4) SII 5) GGB

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
Large-Cap Growth (-.66%)

Sector Outperformers:
Computer Hardware (+.14%), Retail (-.14%) and Gaming (-.28%)

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
CKP, HD, SKM, USMO, NANO, BARE, MAPP, HWCC, IART, LEAP, MSTR, AMZN, SPLS, RDEN, NFLX, DISCA, PALM, PENN, IDC, MTW, BLX, WSO and OMX


Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
1) KMP 2) PFE 3) CREE 4) WM 5) HBC

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Friday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:

- Intel Corp.(INTC), the world’s biggest chipmaker, predicted higher first-quarter revenue than analysts estimated as demand for notebook computers rebounded. The shares climbed in extended trading. Intel forecast sales of about $9.7 billion for the current quarter, compared with the $9.34 billion average estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Fourth-quarter net income increased more than ninefold to $2.28 billion, or 40 cents a share, the company said today in a statement. Intel posted a record profit margin and its biggest quarterly revenue in more than in a year, bolstered by surging sales of laptop personal computers. The company expects consumers to continue snapping up portable computers and businesses to increase technology-hardware budgets this year. “It’s definitely positive across the board,” said Doug Freedman, an analyst at Broadpoint Amtech Inc. in San Francisco. “We were expecting the financial crisis to have a greater impact on demand for consumer electronics and PCs. That just didn’t really materialize. PC sales have held up surprisingly well.” Intel rose 17 cents to $21.65 in late trading after the announcement. “My expectation for 2010 is that we’re going to see robust unit growth,” Chief Financial Officer Stacy Smith said in an interview. “The consumer segments of the market will stay pretty strong, and I do believe we are going to see a resurgence in PC client sales.” Intel’s revenue rose 28 percent to $10.6 billion last quarter -- the first period of growth in more than a year. In October, Santa Clara, California-based Intel forecast sales of $9.7 billion to $10.5 billion. Net income was $234 million, or 4 cents a share, a year earlier, when investment writedowns ate into profit. Gross margin, the percentage of sales remaining after deducting the cost of production, was a record 65 percent, Intel said. The company had predicted about 62 percent. This quarter, the margin will narrow to 61 percent, give or take 2 percentage points, Intel said. Intel plans to spend about $6.2 billion on research and development and $4.8 billion on new plants and equipment this year. Intel doesn’t give an annual sales prediction. PC shipments increased 15 percent last quarter, Framingham, Massachusetts-based IDC said yesterday. That beat the research firm’s earlier prediction for an 11 percent gain. “We’re going to see very strong results -- not just from Intel, but from most of the tech sector,” Bill Whyman, head of technology research at the International Strategy and Investment Group, said today in an interview with Bloomberg Television. “PC, handsets, server, storage -- all of these markets are growing. The first half of the year is going to be very strong.”

- The U.S. government may take formal measures against China over an alleged cyber-attack on Google Inc.(GOOG) and other companies, a State Department official said. David Shear, the deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asia and the Pacific, met with the Chinese Embassy’s deputy chief of mission in Washington yesterday to express concern and ask questions. Shear didn’t receive answers to any of the questions during the meeting, the State Department official told reporters in Washington on condition of anonymity. The allegations of breaches raise questions such as whether China will investigate the intrusions, the official said. If the attack represented part of a deliberate strategy on China’s part, that raises other concerns, the official said, without being specific. Google said the attack, which occurred last month, included theft of its intellectual property and hacking into the e-mail accounts of human rights activists, and that it targeted at least 20 other “large” companies in technology, finance and chemicals. While the State Department called for the meeting with the Chinese envoy, it wasn’t a formal summons. That may yet occur, the official said.

- Haverty Says Google(GOOG) Shares 'Extraordinarily' Undervalued. (video)

- Hynix Semiconductor and Elpidia Memory were raised to "buy" from "neutral" at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which said shares of dynamic random access memory chipmakers are "primed for a second wind of strong performance."

- Agrium Inc.’s(AGU) pursuit of rival fertilizer producer CF Industries Holdings Inc.(CF) may benefit from CF’s decision to abandon a hostile offer for a third competitor. CF had spurned Agrium offers containing progressively larger cash components since February, saying its own bid for Terra Industries Inc.(TRA) would provide a better return to shareholders. Agrium’s current offer for CF of $45 plus one of its own shares for each of the target’s shares was valued at $5.36 billion at the close of regular trading today.

- Crude oil prices are poised to decline to the low $70s a barrel as the futures enter a bearish trend, according to technical analysis by Barclays Capital. Oil for March delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange is probably heading for support near its 200-day average of $73.15 a barrel, MacNeil Curry, a Barclays analyst, said in a report. Futures ended 10 consecutive days of gains on Jan 6. The failure to extend increases has set up the conditions for a correction, Curry said.

- Republicans may lose next week’s U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts and still win election- year political points. The race to fill the late Senator Ted Kennedy’s seat, once considered a foregone conclusion in a heavily Democratic state, is taking on national significance as some polls show Republican state Senator Scott Brown trailing Democratic state Attorney General Martha Coakley by as few as 2 percentage points, and after Brown raised $1.3 million in 24 hours over the Internet. The surge in opinion polls by a state legislator who trailed by more than 30 points in November set off a last-minute Democratic push to turn out voters for Coakley on Jan. 19. “He’s going to worry her from here until then,” said Richard Parker, a former consultant to Democrats, including Kennedy. Parker said “neither campaign is running like a Swiss railroad, and there could be problems in actually getting people out.” If Brown wins, Democrats would lose the 60-vote Senate majority needed to overcome Republican filibusters on priorities such as health-care legislation. In Massachusetts, even coming close would help Republicans make the case that Democrats are in danger of losing congressional majorities in the November elections. “Anything in the single digits and Republicans get to crow a little bit,” said Jeffrey Berry, a political science professor at Tufts University in Medford, Massachusetts. The Rothenberg Political Report and Cook Political Report, Washington-based publications that handicap elections, today labeled the Massachusetts contest as a toss-up. Since the latest polls were released, Coakley has made a last-minute television commercial with Kennedy’s widow, Victoria Reggie Kennedy. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee bought $567,000 worth of advertising, the first independent expenditure in the race by either national party, and President Barack Obama fired off an e-mail and Web video to his political organizing arm.

- U.S. video-game industry sales jumped to a record $5.53 billion last month, driven by record purchases of Nintendo Co.’s Wii console. Industry hardware, software and accessories sales rose 4 percent in December, researcher NPD Group Inc. said today in a statement. Sales of Nintendo’s Wii rose 77 percent to 3.8 million units, the largest monthly sales ever for a game system. Sony Corp.’s PlayStation 3 sales surged 87 percent to a company record of 1.36 million units, while Microsoft Corp.’s Xbox 360 fell 9 percent to 1.31 million units.

- Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, Says Apple's(AAPL) Tablet May Create New Market. (video)


Wall Street Journal:

- Breaking News on Haiti.

- Former President George W. Bush's expected role as co-chair of the U.S. relief efforts in Haiti will mark his re-emergence into the public spotlight for the first time since leaving office a year ago amid controversy and low popularity ratings. Alongside former President Bill Clinton, Mr. Bush will share responsibility for raising money and keeping attention on the aftermath of the devastating earthquake. The appointment is expected to be made shortly by President Barack Obama.

- Congressional Democrats finalizing a health overhaul have asked drug companies to contribute an additional $10 billion and possibly more over a decade to help cover the cost, according to people familiar with the discussions. Pharmaceutical companies have already agreed to contribute $80 billion to the federal overhaul, in part by discounting the cost of drugs sold to Medicare beneficiaries caught in a gap in the government health plan's prescription-drug coverage. But lawmakers trying to eliminate that so-called doughnut hole, which forces Medicare beneficiaries to pay a significant portion of their prescription drug costs, have pushed the pharmaceutical industry to up their contribution. Lawmakers and industry lobbyists have been negotiating over not just whether drug makers should pay more but also how, an industry lobbyist said. Among the options, the lobbyist said, are increasing the fee that companies agreed to pay to fund the overhaul or providing deeper drug rebates to people eligible for the Medicare and Medicaid government health plans. Another possibility is companies would increase the discount for prescription drugs in the doughnut hole to 75% from the agreed 50%. A deal hasn't been finalized, say people familiar with the discussions. Even if agreement is reached, the drug makers' increased contribution probably wouldn't be enough to close the doughnut hole entirely without other industries chipping in. "They're shaking the can on the street for everybody," said a person familiar with the talks.

- The cyberattack that has prompted Google Inc. (GOOG) to threaten to pull out of China exploited a previously unknown vulnerability in Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) Internet Explorer browser, a security research firm said Thursday. The attackers took aim at Google and numerous other corporations by targeting one or a few key individuals in each company, tricking them into clicking on a link or a file that appeared to have been sent from a trusted source, said McAfee Inc. (MFE) Chief Technology Officer George Kurtz in a blog post.

- Life insurers are readying for an estimated $5 billion-plus capital benefit from a new approach to sizing up risk in home-mortgage bonds. Much of the gain won't come from a rosier view of those bonds, but from a rule change that has received scant attention, according to a new analysis. The new rules, imposed by state regulators, will allow life insurers to change the way they calculate the capital needed to be held against each bond—using the carrying value of the bond, rather than the par value. That will allow insurers to hold less capital against a bond if they have already written down its value.

- Juniper Networks Inc.(JNPR) said Thursday that it was a target of the same cyber attacks believed to have affected Google Inc.(GOOG) and other companies. The announcement makes the Sunnyvale, Calif., maker of networking equipment the third company to say publicly that it was targeted since Google announced Tuesday that attackers based in China broke into its computer network and stole some of its intellectual property. Adobe Systems Inc.(ADBE) also said Tuesday that it had been attacked.


Forbes:

- Ghost Tweeters. Think you're getting the lowdown on Twitter directly from Britney Spears, 50 Cent or Oprah Winfrey? Not likely.

- A spokeswoman for Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd, D-Conn., says he "strongly" supports the idea of a tax, but that remains to be seen should push come to shove. Although Dodd plans to retire at the end of the year, his biggest donors include firms like Citigroup (C), AIG(AIG) and Goldman Sachs(GS), which would be subject to the tax. Democrats, who need to worry about future elections, might have a tougher time sticking it to Wall Street. According to the Center for Responsive Politics, Goldman Sachs is among the top donors for Banking Committee members Evan Bayh and Sherrod Brown. And JPMorgan Chase is a major contributor to the committee's second-most senior Democrat, Tim Johnson, as well as Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. If they want to retain their near-super majority in the Senate, Democrats can't afford to lose a single seat. Lawmakers may nip the hands that feed them, but don't expect them to bite.


Fox News:

- Saudi Prince Alwaleed Sees Strong Future for Citigroup(C); Says 'Worst' is Over.


Business Insider:

- There's a reason that heavily-unionized industries have a tendency to topple and implode. They're built like top-heavy reverse pyramids, where a mass of very-highly paid employees, retirees, and soon-to-be retirees sit at the top lapping up fat, while the lower ranks support them. Detroit is a classic example of this. The latest "deal" over healthcare reform is another example of this.

- Credible intelligence has emerged that a branch of Al Qaeda Yemen is plotting another attack against the United States and U.S. interests abroad. A senior U.S. counterterrorism official confirmed the terror plot to a number of news outlets, including the Daily News and Fox News.


Business Week:

- Since their record losses in 2008, hedge funds have staged a comeback, posting a 20% gain last year. So why are many investors still wary? Partly it's because they could have made more in the S&P 500-stock index, which returned almost 27% in 2009, and avoided those pesky, high fees. Some simply aren't happy with the way they were treated when hedge funds barred redemptions during the market's darkest days. Pension funds, foundations, and wealthy individuals yanked $118 billion from hedge funds in the first 11 months of 2009, and many continue to hoard cash. "Before, managers could rely on their returns to sell themselves," says Andrea Gentilini, head of strategic consulting at Barclays Capital's Prime Services unit in New York. "Now investors want more transparency and communication."


Politico:

- The White House on Thursday cut a deal with its closest labor allies to blunt the impact of a new tax on high-cost insurance policies — and blunt their protests against the health reform plan. Democrats couldn’t eliminate the tax on union members’ high-cost insurance policies altogether but did put off the effective date until 2018, but only for labor agreements and state and local government workers. And that seems sure to open up Democrats to charges that it took yet another behind-closed-doors bargaining session with a powerful interest group to close the deal on health reform.


Rasmussen Reports:

- Little has changed in Ohio’s 2010 race for governor, with incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland still trailing his Republican challenger, John Kasich. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state shows Kasich with a seven-point lead, 47% to 40%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.


Chicago Tribune:

- On Banks, Obama talks tough, does little. Goldman Sachs(GS), JPMorgan Chase(JPM) and other big Wall Street banks are awarding multimillion-dollar bonuses to the same financiers who pushed the nation to the brink of financial ruin. President Barack Obama voices outrage, but he fails to take the actions available to him to stem the abuse. Wall Street has kept its mischief legal by salting the pockets of politicians running for Congress and the White House and by making certain that key policymakers at the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve are faithful Goldman Sachs alumni. Those bonuses were made possible by billions in taxpayer-financed TARP funds and nearly $2 trillion in loans from the Federal Reserve and through the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Those funds helped Wall Street financial institutions, deemed too big to fail, survive their own misdeeds. Bankers used this cash -- much of it obtained at near-zero interest rates -- not to make loans for homes and businesses but to trade derivatives, currency futures and other exotic contracts. The fallout is a drastic drop in the interest paid by banks for private capital. Retirees suddenly found CDs that once paid 4 percent or 5 percent interest now pay 2 percent or 1 percent. Essentially, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke are taxing grandma to subsidize Goldman Sachs and finance huge paydays for bankers who hatched the greatest financial calamity in 80 years. Wall Street has contributed mightily to the campaigns of Senate and House committee members who make the rules and to Obama's election campaign. Goldman Sachs and others paid Obama's senior economic adviser, Lawrence Summers, millions in speaking and consulting fees the year after he resigned as president of Harvard University and before he joined the Obama administration. Americans should expect better, but they won't get it as long as Barack Obama has the audacity to hope voters will look the other way. Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland Smith School of Business and former chief economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission.


Milwaukee Wisconsin Journal Sentinel:

- Sen. Russ Feingold deserves credit for showing up Monday before a room in Pewaukee packed with hundreds of . . .  well, Obamacare skeptics (and, by actual count, maybe a dozen fans). The senator took it like a man as sweet, grandmotherly ladies in decorated sweatshirts booed lustily. With gestures. Feingold anticipated such heat and, admirably, showed up anyhow. "I expect there to be some opposition," he said beforehand, "given the fact that Waukesha County might be a place where there is more people that would oppose it than be for it." Yes, though it's not the result of geography. Feingold, who favors Obamacare, got pushback at listening sessions in Ozaukee and Washington counties, too, but with polls showing the country about 60% to 40% against, this isn't just the cake-eaters. Rather, Obamacare is "hanging on by a thread," as another Senate Democrat, Chris Dodd, said, because it has become increasingly clear that the plan will cost vast sums - and the patsies are starting to grasp that they're the ones who will pay. Middle-class-and-slightly-above places, like suburban Milwaukee, have long figured they'll be on the hook, either by taxes or worsened health care. That's why they've been frightening lawmakers at listening sessions since August. But now, the bedrock of the Democratic Party, labor unions, are in rebellion over senators' plans to tax so-called Cadillac coverage - the kind unions finagle out of public-sector employers. President Barack Obama tried soothing union bosses in a White House chat, but as AFL-CIO boss Richard Trumka said, "people could stay home. It could suppress votes." The problem is Obamacare's costs. To fund more coverage of the not-quite-poor (the poor and near-poor already are covered), the Senate and House must scrape up hundreds of billions of dollars from somewhere. It'll be worth it, they say, since care will get cheaper. But last week, Medicare's chief actuary said the plans would bend the nation's cost curve upward by $222 billion over their first decade. The figure's a lowball because of Congress' accounting trick of excluding four years of costs. And, said actuary Richard Foster, the presumed cuts in Medicare (if ever made) mean lots of doctors will have to drop such patients. All this to raise the nation's coverage rate from 83% to 93%.


USAToday:

- Cisco(CSCO) powers through recession.


Reuters:

- AboveNet Inc (ABVT), which operates fiber optic networks, is looking to expand into new regions in 2010, riding on faster-than-market growth and strength at its financial services segment.

- Desperate Haitians set up roadblocks with corpses in Port-au-Prince on Thursday to demand quicker relief efforts after a massive earthquake killed tens of thousands and left countless others homeless. Angry survivors staged the protest as international aid began arriving in the Haitian capital to help a nation traumatized by Tuesday's catastrophic earthquake that flattened homes and government buildings. More than 48 hours after the disaster, tens of thousands of people clamored for food and water and help digging out relatives still missing under the rubble. Shaul Schwarz, a photographer for TIME magazine, said he saw at least two downtown roadblocks formed with bodies of earthquake victims and rocks. "They are starting to block the roads with bodies. It's getting ugly out there. People are fed up with getting no help," he told Reuters.


Financial Times:

- Interactive Data Corporation(IDC), the $2.4bn financial information company majority owned by Pearson, is sounding out potential buyers, according to people familiar with the situation. Pearson, the owner of the Financial Times, was prepared to consider options including a sale, these people said. At IDC’s current market capitalization, Pearson’s 62 per cent shareholding is worth about $1.5bn.

- Debt-burdened regional governments around the world face the threat of downgrades this year because of deteriorating public finances and ballooning budget deficits. The problems for local authorities come as many central governments are failing to rein back mounting debt levels, which continue to undermine the finances of municipalities, rating agency Moody’s warned on Thursday. Many downgrades are also likely because of the knock-on effect of actions taken by sovereigns, such as Greece, Moody’s said in a report that covers the world, except the US. In addition, local authorities may suffer from a crowding-out effect – which will force up their interest rate costs – in the capital markets as sovereigns, corporates and banks all try to borrow money at the same time. A rise in interest rates will serve to damage finances even more. The authorities most exposed range from those in developed world countries, such as Canada, Greece and Spain, to emerging market economies, such as Mexico and Brazil. Although Moody’s has downgraded more than 70 local authorities already in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, it anticipates many more to come in 2010. Many authorities, in countries such as Spain and Portugal, face running out of money for hospitals and schools, while those in economies such as Russia and Ukraine could see funding from the still-beleaguered banks dry up. One of the challenges for many local authorities will be finding money in an extremely uncertain environment, with national governments changing policies quickly and unpredictably, Moody’s said.

CNA:
- Taipei, Jan. 14 (CNA) The Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) , Taiwan's top China policy authority, has urged China to respect press and Internet freedom in the wake of Internet search engine giant Google's possible pullout from China, an MAC spokesman said Thursday. "There is still a lot of room for improvement for China over its press and Internet freedom. The MAC would like to urge China to respect freedom of the Internet and journalism, " said MAC Vice Chairman Liu Te-hsun.


The Economic Times:

- NEW DELHI: Anil Ambani-controlled Reliance Entertainment is likely to put in a bid for the iconic film studio Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer, or MGM, as it seeks to increase its presence in Hollywood beyond its existing tie-up with Steven Spielberg’s DreamWorks Studio, a person privy to the development told ET. MGM, the owner of a library with more than 4,000 titles, including classics such as the Pink Panther and James Bond movies and more recent ones such as Legally Blonde, a series of comedy films, has been put on the block by its lenders, a consortium of over 100 financiers led by JPMorgan.


21st Century Business Herald:

- Some Chinese banks have scaled back loans to developers, citing commercial bank officials. The banks are only interested in making loans for residential developments. The banks aren't extending loans for luxury homes and commercial developments.


Evening Recommendations

CSFB:

- Reiterated Outperform on (AAPL), raised estimates, target $250.


BMO Capital:

- Raised (FCX) to Outperform, target $110.


Night Trading
Asian indices are -.25% to +.50% on avg.

Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index 89.0 -.5 basis point.
S&P 500 futures -.28%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.34%.


Morning Preview
BNO Breaking Global News of Note

Google Top Stories

Bloomberg Breaking News

Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories

MarketWatch News Viewer

Asian Financial News

European Financial News

Latin American Financial News

MarketWatch Pre-market Commentary

U.S. Equity Preview

TradeTheNews Morning Report

Briefing.com In Play

SeekingAlpha Market Currents

Briefing.com Bond Ticker

US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar

Conference Calendar

Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades

Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling


Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- (CRI)/.67

- (JPM)/.60


Economic Releases

8:30 am EST

- The Consumer Price Index for December is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.4% gain in November.

- The CPI Ex Food & Energy for December is estimated to rise +.1% versus unch. in November.

- Empire Manufacturing for January is estimated to rise to 12.0 versus a reading of 2.55 in December.


9:15 am EST

- Industrial Production for December is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.8% gain in November.

- Capacity Utilization for December is expected to rise to 71.8% versus 71.3% in November.


9:55 am EST

- Preliminary Univ. of Mich. Consumer Confidence for January is estimated to rise to 74.0 versus 72.5 in December.


Upcoming Splits

- None of note


Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed's Lacker speaking and Needham Growth Conference
could also impact trading today.


BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and automaker stocks in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.