Sunday, January 07, 2007

Weekly Outlook

Click here for The Week Ahead by Reuters

There are some economic reports of note and a few significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.

Economic reports for the week include:

Mon. - Consumer Credit

Tues. - IDB/TIPP Economic Optimism

Wed. - MBA Mortgage Applications, EIA Weekly Energy Inventories, Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories

Thur. - Initial Jobless Claims, Monthly Budget Statement

Fri. - Import Price Index, Advanced Retail Sales, Business Inventories

Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:

Mon. - Schnitzer Steel(SCHN)

Tues. - Alcoa Inc.(AA), Freddie Mac(FRE), Ruby Tuesday(RI)

Wed. - California Pizza Kitchen(CPKI), Genentech(DNA)

Thur. - M&T Bank(MTB), MGIC Investment Corp.(MTG), Stride Rite(SRR)

Fri. - None of note

Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:

Mon. - The Fed’s Kohn speaking, CSFB Building Products Conference, Citigroup Entertainment/Media and Telecom Conference, MacWorld Conference, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, JPMorgan CES Tech Forum

Tue. - Needham Growth Conference, Cowen Consumer Conference, MacWorld Conference, Raymond James Govt. Services & Tech Summit, Citigroup Entertainment/Media and Telecom Conference, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference

Wed. - The Fed’s Moskow speaking, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, Cowen Consumer Conference, Citigroup Entertainment/Media and Telecom Conference, MacWorld Conference, Needham Growth Conference

Thur. - The Fed’s Geithner speaking, the Fed’s Bies speaking, Citigroup Entertainment/Media and Telecom Conference, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, MacWorld Conference, Needham Growth Conference

Fri. - MacWorld Conference, Needham Growth Conference

BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly higher on mostly positive economic data, buyout speculation, lower energy prices, seasonal strength, stable long-term rates, a firmer US dollar, bargain-hunting and short-covering. I expect the recent substantial outperformance by true “growth” stocks over “value” stocks to continue this week and throughout the year. My trading indicators are giving mostly bullish signals and the Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.

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