Tuesday, January 30, 2007

Consumer Confidence Near 5-Year High

- Consumer Confidence for January rose to 110.3 versus estimates of 110.0 and an upwardly revised 110.0 in December.
BOTTOM LINE: Confidence among US consumers approached the highest level since May 2002 this month as an expanding job market, rising wages, a strong stock market and falling energy prices gave Americans more money to spend, Bloomberg reported. The Present Situation Component of the index rose to 133.9 versus 130.5 the prior month. The Jobs Are Plentiful component rose to 29.9% versus 27.6% the prior month. The proportion of consumers planning to buy a car rose to 6.2% versus 5.4% the prior month. Those planning to buy a home rose to 3.3%, the highest since August, versus 2.9% the prior month. Gasoline prices fell to $2.23/gallon nationwide during January from $2.29/gallon in December. Sentiment in the central northeast remains depressed at 79.1. Sentiment in the south atlantic, central southwest, mountain and pacific regions remains robust at 120.2, 128.0, 132.8 and 128.3, respectively. I continue to believe both main measures of consumer confidence will make new cycle highs over the coming months as stocks rise further, housing continues to improve, wages continue to outpace inflation as unemployment remains low and gas prices fall further.

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