Monday, February 03, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, Rising Emerging Markets/European Debt Angst, Surging Yen, Financial/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 21.24 +15.37%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.57 -.71%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.30 +.59%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.26 +4.85%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 86.0 -8.2%
  • Total Put/Call .78 -10.34%
  • NYSE Arms 2.71 +78.59% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 74.43 +4.31%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 104.51 +3.44%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.0 unch.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 117.74 +1.40%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 347.33 +2.50%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.50 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.75 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 228.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $122.60/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 32.60 -16.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 13.0 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.13 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -430 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -61 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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