Friday, June 27, 2014

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Quarter-End Window Dressing/Rebalancing, Buyout Speculation, Short-Covering, Oil Service/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.73 +.86%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.43 -.07%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 5.87 -1.34%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.19 -.32%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 133.0 +3.10%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -7.61%
  • NYSE Arms 1.39 +30.19% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.62 +1.46%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.59 +3.87%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 29.05 +2.43%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 73.56 -.29%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 235.81 +2.04%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 312.94 +.98%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.50 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 207.0 +1.0 basis  point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $94.90/Metric Tonne -.42%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -23.70 -.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.10 -2.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +20 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +10 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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