Monday, December 22, 2014

Stocks Rising Modestly into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Seasonal Strength, Yen Weakness, Defense/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.81 -4.12%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 153.22 +.39%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.04 +.36%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.97 -.34%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 102.0 +50.0%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -9.20%
  • NYSE Arms 1.46 +57.25% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.76 +.44% 
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 613.0 -2.20%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.28 -4.10%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.72 -9.33%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 65.11 -4.05%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 317.99 -2.60%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 344.54 +.38%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.75 +1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.75 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 150.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $67.90/Metric Tonne -1.84%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 32.70 +1.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 1.90 +2.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.80 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.67 +4.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +195 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +39 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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