Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are -.50% to +.50% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 119.0 +4.0 basis points.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 78.25 +3.75 basis points.
  • S&P 500 futures +.25%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures  +.30%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • (GIS)/.76
  • (JOY)/1.14
  • (FDX)/2.25
  • (MLHR)/.52
  • (JBL)/.47
  • (ORCL)/.68
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The CPI MoM for November is estimated to fall -.1% versus unch. in October.
  • The CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for November is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.2% gain in October.
  • The Current Account Deficit for 3Q is estimated at -$97.5B versus -$98.5B in 2Q.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,212,500 barrels versus a +1,454,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +1,950,000 barrels versus a +8,197,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -12,500 barrels versus a +5,577,000 barrel gain the prior week.
2:00 pm EST
  • The FOMC is expected to leave the benchmark Fed Funds rate at .25%.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Yellen speaking, Eurozone inflation data and the weekly MBA mortgage applications report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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