Stocks Surging into Final Hour on FOMC Commentary, Yen Weakness, Bargain-Hunting, Commodity/Homebuilder Sector Strength
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
- Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 20.84 -11.67%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 152.88 +.55%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.15 -2.82%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.05 -12.22%
- ISE Sentiment Index 112.0 +14.29%
- Total Put/Call 1.30 +30.42%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.70 -7.23%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 647.0 -4.58%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.48 -5.36%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.53 -1.77%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 77.25 -7.15%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 334.53 -12.56%
- China Blended Corporate Spread Index 355.37 +2.75%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 22.0 -1.25 basis points
- TED Spread 21.25 -1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.75 -3.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
- Yield Curve 154.0 +3.0 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.05/Metric Tonne -.77%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 31.20 -.2 point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -2.50 +.5 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.70 unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.66 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +350 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +35 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On losses in my retail/tech sector longs and index hedges
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
- Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long
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