Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on FOMC Commentary, Yen Weakness, Bargain-Hunting, Commodity/Homebuilder Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.84 -11.67%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 152.88 +.55%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.15 -2.82%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.05 -12.22%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 112.0 +14.29%
  • Total Put/Call 1.30 +30.42%
  • NYSE Arms .48 -47.97% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.70 -7.23% 
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 647.0 -4.58%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.48 -5.36%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.53 -1.77%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 77.25 -7.15%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 334.53 -12.56%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 355.37 +2.75%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.0 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 21.25 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.75 -3.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 154.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.05/Metric Tonne -.77%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 31.20 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -2.50 +.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.70 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.66 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +350 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +35 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On losses in my retail/tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: