Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, US High-Yield Debt Angst, Profit-Taking, Utility/Healthcare Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.90 +18.72%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 151.50 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.79 -.74%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 67.64 +3.19%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 52.0 -49.41%
  • Total Put/Call .89 -10.10%
  • NYSE Arms 1.29 +11.82% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.12 unch.
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 641.0 +1.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.44 +1.46%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.20 -2.37%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.15 +.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 338.33 +.84%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 331.44 -3.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 +2.75 basis points
  • TED Spread 24.0 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 151.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $71.26/Metric Tonne +.15%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 34.70 -3.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 10.20 +1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.40 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.68 +4.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -21 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +38 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs and index hedges 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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