Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Yen Strength, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.94 +6.90%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.75 -.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.86 +.31%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.82 +1.86%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 101.0 -14.01%
  • Total Put/Call .95 -5.94%
  • NYSE Arms .98 -23.33% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.47 +1.15%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 660.0 +2.81%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.95 +2.11%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.67 +5.03%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.289 +2.14%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 375.86 +.46%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 114.46 +.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.25 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 144.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.24/Metric Tonne -.94%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -49.4 -.4 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 61.8 +3.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.2 -3.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87 +4.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -85 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech/medical/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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