Monday, April 13, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Worries, Euro Weakness, Technical Selling, Commodity/Road & Rail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.0 +11.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.60 -.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.97 +.71%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.58 +2.25%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 137.0 +28.04%
  • Total Put/Call .89 +4.71%
  • NYSE Arms .89 +11.93% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.52 +1.72%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,115.0 -1.28%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 62.54 +.12%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.90 -.05%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.80 +.67%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 297.93 +.20%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 115.72 +.42%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.25 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.0 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 140.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $48.82/Metric Tonne +2.71%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -45.60 +6.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 56.20 -.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.2 -15.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.81 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +3 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -25 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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