Monday, April 20, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Yen Weakness, Technical Buying, Transport/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.14 -5.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.73 -.41%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.94 +.51%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 67.87 +1.09%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 71.0 -16.47%
  • Total Put/Call .81 -27.68%
  • NYSE Arms 1.32 +16.49% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.49 -2.99%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,059.0 +.18%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.53 +1.13%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.20 -1.30%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.0 -2.77%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 300.91 -.63%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 116.67 +.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 26.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 137.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $51.57/Metric Tonne +1.26%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -54.30 -.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 49.90 -3.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.5 -1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +96 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -4 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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