Tuesday, September 01, 2015

Stocks Falling Substantially into Afternoon on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Global Growth Worries, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Financial/Technology Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 31.61 +11.19%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.43 -.42%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.67 +.17%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.37 -.19%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 59.0 -45.4%
  • Total Put/Call 1.28 +9.4%
  • NYSE Arms 2.65 +124.36% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 84.05 +2.76%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,836.0 -1.77%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.38 +5.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.16 -.40%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 83.83 +3.88%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 358.04 +3.50%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 116.73 -.20%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 -2.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.0 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 147.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.59/Metric Tonne +.68%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.6 -4.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.8 +9.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.6 -5.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.58 -5.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 3.83 -.45
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -335 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -970 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -61 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

No comments: