Friday, September 04, 2015

Stocks Falling Substantially into Afternoon on Global Growth Fears, Fed Rate Hike Worries, Oil Decline, Commodity/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 28.92 +12.92%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.57 -.68%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.26 n/a
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 65.56 +1.83%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 83.0 +5.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.44 +28.57%
  • NYSE Arms 2.71 +284.26% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 83.53 +1.93%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,802.0 -3.34%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 84.05 +2.70%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.87 +2.80%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 83.42 +2.49%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 360.77 +3.13%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 116.86 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 31.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 143.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.50/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -15.6 -.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 25.4 -1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -23.8 -.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.51 -3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 4.39 n/a
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -283 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -61 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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