Thursday, September 03, 2015

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Central Bank Hopes, Oil Bounce, Less Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Gaming/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.92 -.65%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.50 -1.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.26 +.08%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.32 +4.93%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 60.0 -.2%
  • Total Put/Call 1.1 -16.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 +81.75% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 82.33 -.78%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,841.0 +.78%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.84 -2.7%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.28 -7.6%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.40 -2.05%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 350.52 -2.13%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 116.84 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.25 +3.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.0 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 147.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.50/Metric Tonne -.35%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.7 +1.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 27.1 +2.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -23.2 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.54 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 4.39 +.21
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +59 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -87 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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