Monday, May 09, 2016

Stocks Rising Slightly into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Yen Weakness, Short Covering, Biotech/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.36 -2.35%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.08 +1.14%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.22 +2.19%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.03 -2.98%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 113.0 +36.14%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 -8.4%
  • NYSE Arms 1.62 +69.13% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 83.97 -1.05%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 998.0 +2.68%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 98.63 -1.49%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.01 -.65%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 54.52 -.93%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 296.45 +1.79%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.60 +.43%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 44.25 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.25 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.83 -.48%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .21% +2.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 104.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $54.99/Metric Tonne -5.66%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -37.10 -.4 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -5.3 +5.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 8.50 -1.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.6% -2.0 basis points
  • 15.5% chance of Fed rate hike at July 27 meeting, 27.3% chance at September 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +118 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -127 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +14 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/tech/biotech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: