Thursday, June 29, 2017

Friday Watch

Evening Headlines
  • U.K. Won't Escape Shackles of EU Laws After Brexit, Bloc Says. (video) The U.K. must comply with hundreds of European Union regulations and European Court of Justice rulings even after its withdrawal from the bloc or face penalties, according to a series of negotiating documents under discussion by the EU’s 27 remaining member states. “All rulings given by the Court of Justice pursuant to the provisions of the withdrawal agreement are binding on the union and the United Kingdom, and are enforceable in the United Kingdom,” the European Commission’s Task Force in charge of preparing Brexit negotiations said in one of the so-called position papers circulated to national governments. The papers, posted on the commission’s website on Thursday, will be discussed among officials as soon as June 29.
  • Happy Europeans May Bring Back Spark to Lagging Consumer Stocks. Europeans haven’t felt this good about spending in 16 years. That bodes well for companies focused on shoppers. The MSCI Europe Consumer Discretionary Index, which has typically tracked improvements in sentiment, has so far lagged gains in the broader regional measure this year. That may change, with the euro-area consumer confidence in June surging to its highest level since early 2001. 
  • China Manufacturing Rose in June Amid Global Upturn. (video) China’s official factory gauge rose, adding to evidence that the world’s second-largest economy maintained its momentum in the second quarter.
  • Asia Stocks Follow U.S. Drop as Dollar, Bonds Fall. Asian equity markets slid, paring a quarterly gain, after a slump in U.S. stocks triggered a surge in volatility. The dollar held on to losses and bonds fell as central banks worldwide shift toward a more hawkish tone. Stocks in Japan, Australia and South Korea declined after the S&P 500 Index lost the most in six weeks. The U.S. technology sector’s woes deepened as investors sold off the year’s biggest winners and rotated into banks. Australian 10-year yields jumped for a third day after the benchmark U.S. rate topped 2.29 percent for the first time in a month. Japan’s Topix dropped 0.8 percent as of 9:10 a.m. in Tokyo, trimming the quarter’s gain to 6.5 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index lost 1.4 percent. South Korea’s Kospi declined 0.6 percent, paring its quarterly advance to 10 percent. Futures on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slid 0.5 percent.
  • Apple’s(AAPL) Cook Reaped $145 Million Last Year, Most of S&P 500 CEOs.
Wall Street Journal:
Zero Hedge:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.0% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 86.25 +.75 basis point. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 19.75 +.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.95 +.02%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.03%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.27%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

  • None of note
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • Personal Income for May is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.4% gain in April. 
  • Personal Spending for May is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.4% gain in April.
  • The PCE Core MoM for May is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.2% gain in April.
9:45 am EST
  • The Chicago Purchasing Manager Index for June is estimated to fall to 58.0 versus 59.4 in May.
10:00 am EST
  • Final Univ. of Mich. Consumer Sentiment for June is estimated at 94.5 versus a prior estimate of 94.5.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Manufacturing PMI report, Eurozone CPI report and the (DAL) annual meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are lower, weighed down by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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