Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Gain, Bargain Hunting, Energy/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.44 -8.81%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.66 +.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.69 -.90%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.57 +1.32%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 +38.24%
  • Total Put/Call .96 unch.
  • NYSE Arms .91 +13.41%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 58.98 -2.0%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 409.0 -1.17%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 62.12 -2.91%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 6.66 -8.30%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.58 -.57%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.08 -1.93%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 139.05 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.0 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -32.75 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.37 +.18%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .99% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 85.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.36/Metric Tonne -2.75%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -45.10 +.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 33.40 -2.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 6.0 +2.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.77 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 100.0% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +62 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -47 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +33 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/tech/biotech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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