Thursday, June 22, 2017

Stocks Close Slightly Lower on Less Economic Optimism, Yen Strength, Technical Selling, Financial/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.29 -4.28%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.50 -.21%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.63 -1.55%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.54 -3.22%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 +32.0%
  • Total Put/Call .80 -9.09%
  • NYSE Arms .79 -37.69%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.38 -1.76%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 485.0 +1.40%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 54.79 -2.62%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 6.98 +8.73%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.20 +4.09%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 200.52 -1.64%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 139.43 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 33.0 +5.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.54 +.27%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .95% -5.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 81.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.53/Metric Tonne -.51%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -76.10 +.4 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 18.50 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.6 +1.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.70 +3.0 basis points
  • 24.3% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 20 meeting, 25.9% chance at Nov. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +40 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +7 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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