Friday, May 18, 2018

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Jitters, European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Financial/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.44 +.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.71 -.23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.22 +2.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.95 +2.86%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 98.0 -31.47%
  • Total Put/Call .96 +15.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.87 +92.72%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.63 +1.16%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 358.0 -1.26%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.50 +6.2%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 165.0 +17.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.96 +.54%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 170.69 +3.48%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 149.19 -.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 44.25 +3.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.0 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.01 -.48%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.89% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 52.0 -1.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 65.11 USD/Metric Tonne -2.62%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.30 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -91.70 +1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.80 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 -3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at August 1 meeting, 100.0% chance at September 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -79  open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -39 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/industrial/biotech sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: