Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 76.75 +1.25 basis points. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 12.5 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.21 -.02%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.37%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.09%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.07%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (AEO)/.22
  • (BURL)/1.09
  • (CIEN)/.30
  • (DG)/1.39
  • (DLTR)/1.23
  • (DCI)/.52
  • (PERY)/.69
  • (SHLD)/-1.51
  • (TECD)/1.47
After the Close:
  • (COST)/1.68
  • (GME)/1.37
  • (LULU)/.46
  • (ULTA)/2.48
  • (VMW)/1.15
  • (WDAY)/.26
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • Challenger Job Cuts YoY for May. 
8:30 am EST
  • Personal Income for April is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in March.
  • Personal Spending for April is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.4% gain in March. 
  • The PCE Core MoM for April is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.2% gain in March.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 228K versus 234K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 1733K versus 1741K the prior week.
9:45 am EST
  • Chicago Purchasing Manager for May is estimated to rise to 58.3 versus 57.6 in April.
10:00 am EST
  • Pending Home Sales MoM for April is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.4% gain in March.
11:00 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -137,200 barrels versus a +5,778,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -870,800 barrels versus a +1,883,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -1,192,300 barrels versus a -951,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.74% versus a +.7% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China PMI report, Eurozone CPI report, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, RBC Auto Tech: Connected/Autonomous/Shared/Electric Conference, Keefe Bruyette Woods Mortgage Finance/Asset Mgmt Conference, Ladenburg Thalmann Tech Forum and the (UNP) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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