S&P 500 4,462.5 -.18% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 35,303.8 +.58%
- NASDAQ 13,650.0 -1.9%
- Russell 2000 1,925.7 -1.6%
- NYSE FANG+ 7,542.4 -3.4%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 37.9 -5.9%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 162.4 -5.4%
- Wilshire 5000 44,634.8 -.52%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,752.8 -.85%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,581.8 +.31%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 785.21 +.28%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,225.05 -2.1%
- NYSE Technology 3,642.7 -2.94%
- Transports 16,219.1 -.65%
- Utilities 993.4 +.84%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 85.3 -.66%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.6 -2.6%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 192.86 +.09%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 103.47 -.23%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 467,600 -.1%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 9.9 +70.3%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -99 -1
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -29.4 -4.7%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 241,859 +7.4%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,752,072 +.49%
- Total Put/Call .97 -11.8%
- OEX Put/Call 1.69 -14.8%
- ISE Sentiment 107.0 -1.0 point
- NYSE Arms .87 -53.5%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 71.6 +3.0%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .39 +23.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -.08 -8.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 15.1 -9.4%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .84% -20.8%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 22.1 -1.4%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.0 -3.6%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.97 -.56%
- Smart Money Flow Index 13,519.1 -1.8%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 65.5 -13.0
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.530 Trillion +.26%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$2.601 Million
- AAII % Bulls 44.7 -8.8%
- AAII % Bears 25.5 +19.7%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 279.96 +.18%
- Crude Oil 83.1/bbl. +.9%
- Reformulated Gasoline 295.1 +6.0%
- Natural Gas 2.77 +5.4%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 35.3 euros/megawatt-hour +21.7%
- Heating Oil 311.4 +2.6%
- Newcastle Coal 154.0 (1,000/metric ton) +8.5%
- Gold 1,913.4 -1.25%
- Silver 22.7 -3.6%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 413.7 -1.8%
- Copper 371.60 -3.0%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 359.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.4%
- China Iron Ore Spot 102.4 USD/Metric Tonne +.9
%
- CME Lumber 494.50 -.40%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,574.75 -.51%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 313.5 USD/Short Ton -1.3%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +4.12% +9.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 27.6% -2.1 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.42 -12.4%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 61.0 +13.5%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(455 of 500 reporting) -8.3% n/a
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 234.09 n/a: Growth
Rate +7.0% n/a, P/E 19.1 n/a
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.14% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +17.0% n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 231.54 n/a: Growth Rate +41.1% n/a, P/E 32.9 n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 73.7 -4.0 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -83.3 +10.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.6 +5.2 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 88.5%(+1.5 percentage points) chance of no
change, 11.5%(-1.5 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 9/20
- US Dollar Index 102.9 +.59%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,682.8 -.17%
- Bitcoin/USD 29,323.5 +1.3%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 167.8 +1.9%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -73.5 +.25 basis point
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.16% +13.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.171 Trillion +.02%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.131 Billion +1.8%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.5 +11.8%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 177.3 +1.1%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 163.0 -2.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.7 -.9%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 62.8 +13.4%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 171.6 -1.3%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 56.11 +.79%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.6 +11.8%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.39 -.99%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.0% -.1 percentage point
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +4.1% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +4.0% -.9 percentage point
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.0% +.1 percentage point
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.2% unch.: CPI YoY +3.8% +.4 percentage point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.37% unch.
- TED Spread 21.0 -2.5 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -11.0 -2.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 +2.0 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 66.4 -.8%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 189.0 -.41%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 353.0 +1.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 81.27 +1.1%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 248.92 -6.1%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 202.07 +.59%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 174.0 +5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 746.0 -4.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .68 unch.
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.6% +40.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,171.6 +.5%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 231,000 +1.2%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% -10.0 basis points
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 48.6 -1.1%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.46% +7.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 194,500 -3.1%
- Weekly Retail Sales -.2% +10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -4.0% -1.0 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross YoY $116.6M -13.4%
- Nationwide Gas $3.84/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,137.0 +.09%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 874.6 +1.18%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 39.4 +10.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 249,739 -1.3%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,648,442 +10.2%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +.3%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth -2.1%
Leading Sectors
- Pharma +6.3%
- Telecom +5.9%
- Energy +3.5%
- Oil Service +1.8%
- Construction +1.7%
Lagging Sectors
- AI/Robotics -4.2%
- Semis -4.6%
- Digital Health -5.1%
- Alt Energy -5.8%
- Disk Drives -9.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (10)
- INOD, APLS, AVDL, NTRA, UBS, NWS, CCOI, NWSA, FLO and APP
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (11)
- NVEI, PODD, AMX, SAFE, DOCS, GPCR, AVTA, PENN, FUTU, SMCI and MAXN
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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