S&P 500 5,024.6 +1.3% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 38,669.6 +.1%
- NASDAQ 15,985.3 +2.4%
- Russell 2000 2,005.0 +2.4%
- NYSE FANG+ 9,894.8 +3.2%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 390.9 +5.5%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 156.6 +6.7%
- Wilshire 5000 50,070.4 +1.6%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,3.16.3 +2.6%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,642.3 -.1%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 775.2 -1.3%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 139.7 +1.7%
- NYSE Technology 4,746.9 +3.6%
- Transports 16,207.7 +2.6%
- Utilities 834.6 -2.1%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 89.8 -2.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.6 +2.4%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 196.2 +.3%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 107.1 -.2%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 479,172 -.16%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.8 +42.1%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 676 +436
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -24.1 -3.1%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 196,664 +6.9%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,747,660 +6.0%
- Total Put/Call .78 -25.7%
- OEX Put/Call 2.92 -6.5%
- ISE Sentiment 162.0 +13.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.81 +56.0%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 61.5 +6.0%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.08 +9.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .81 +16.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.8 -7.1%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .43 -63.0%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 17.1 -12.9%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.49 -4.2%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.88 -4.7%
- Smart Money Flow Index 15,682.3 +4.1%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 93.8 +6.4
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.018 Trillion +.3%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$5.903 Million
- AAII % Bulls 49.0 -.2%
- AAII % Bears 22.6 -7.8%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 78.0 (Extreme Greed) +11.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 273.57 +2.2%
- Crude Oil 76.58/bbl. +6.1%
- Reformulated Gasoline 233.3 +9.1%
- Natural Gas 1.85 -11.7%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 27.1 euros/megawatt-hour -8.1%
- Heating Oil 295.34 +10.8%
- Newcastle Coal 125.0 (1,000/metric ton) +5.5%
- Gold 2,024.5 -.7%
- Silver 22.56 -.5%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 398.60 -2.5%
- Copper 368.45 -3.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 416.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.72%
- China Iron Ore Spot 128.3 USD/Metric Tonne +1.8
%
- CME Lumber 552.0 -1.1%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,497.6 +.15%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 315.0 USD/Short Ton -.79%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +3.4% -.8 percentage point
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 30.0% -2.5 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.28 +72.7%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 147.7 +52.9%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(334 of 500 reporting) +5.1% +1.1 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 245.15 +1.01: Growth
Rate +10.7% +.4 percentage point, P/E 20.4 +.1
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 11.28% -16.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +44.2% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 303.38 +7.56: Growth Rate +42.2% +3.5 percentage points, P/E 32.5 +.2
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.1 +4.6 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 20.90 +13.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.5 +1.9 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 17.5%(-2.5 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 82.5%(+2.5 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 3/320
- US Dollar Index 104.07 +.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,723.4 -.16%
- Bitcoin/USD 47,472.0 +11.3%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 173.92 +.73%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -30.25 +3.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.19% +16.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.595 Trillion +.03%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.397 Billion -11.4%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $164.869 Billion -.22%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.5 -1.1%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 189.4 +2.6%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 159.0 +1.0 basis point
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.3 -4.4%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 63.8 -.52%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 135.82 -.09%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 123.21 -6.8%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.97 -2.6%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.54 +.49%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 86.78 -.08%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.8% -20.0 basis points
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.66% unch.: CPI YoY +2.94% -2.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25% +4.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 8.0 basis points +2.75 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -13.75 -1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.25 +2.25 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 54.35 -.98%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 154.0 -.34%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 332.0 +6.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 69.57 +.20%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 219.92 +6.7%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 178.09 -.89%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 151.0 +3.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 842.0 -31.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .68 -3.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -2.3% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,252.5B -1.0%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 212,250 +1.8%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% -10.0 basis points
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 51.8 +2.2%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.16% +25.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 210,000 +3.7%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.50% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -7.0% -1.0 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross $78.7M -7.0%
- Nationwide Gas $3.17/gallon +.02/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,473.0 +4.7%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,785.8/40 ft Box -.99%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,455.2 -.66%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 42.5 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 45.2 -6.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 269,484 +4.0%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,302,124 +31.4%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth +3.5%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value unch.
Leading Sectors
- Gambling +5.6%
- Disk Drives +5.5%
- Semis +5.5%
- Computer Hardware +5.2%
- Alt Energy +4.7%
Lagging Sectors
- Utilities -2.1%
- Shipping -2.2%
- Social Media -2.6%
- Foods -3.1%
- Gold & Silver -3.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (62)
- DOOR,
CLSK, NET, VERA, IGMS, RIOT, MSTR, MARA, MWA, ENVX, STEP, ONTO, PATH,
HDSN, VKTX, DOCN, WOR, OSCR, CTRE, OWL, AMAT, VCTR, MDB, COIN, AI, GPRE,
KVYO, COIN, SMCI, HOG, FSLY, COOP, TTMI, ARVN, LRCX, CGEM, QNST, SCSC,
ATR, AMPL, SNOW, EVER, POWI, REVG, WEAV, DDOG, IOT, FROG, SBRA, ZM, FE,
PI, AAOI, CART, POWL, ARCB, RPD, UCTT, ALPN and KD
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (24)
- PEP,
HSY, PEAK, LSPD, PAYC, VSTS, DT, ROAD, SXT, FLO, HAE, NCLH, MGA, OC,
WPC, TEX, TTWO, EMBC, RAMP, PINS, LEG, BILL, AMCX and EXPE
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
No comments:
Post a Comment