Friday, February 09, 2024

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 5,024.6 +1.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 38,669.6 +.1%
  • NASDAQ 15,985.3 +2.4%
  • Russell 2000 2,005.0 +2.4%
  • NYSE FANG+ 9,894.8 +3.2% 
  • Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 390.9 +5.5%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 156.6 +6.7%
  • Wilshire 5000 50,070.4 +1.6%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 3,3.16.3 +2.6%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,642.3 -.1%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 775.2 -1.3%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 139.7 +1.7%
  • NYSE Technology 4,746.9 +3.6%
  • Transports 16,207.7 +2.6%
  • Utilities 834.6 -2.1%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 89.8 -2.1%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 39.6 +2.4%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 196.2 +.3%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 107.1 -.2%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 479,172 -.16%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.8 +42.1%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 676 +436
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -24.1 -3.1%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 196,664 +6.9%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,747,660 +6.0%
  • Total Put/Call .78 -25.7%
  • OEX Put/Call 2.92 -6.5%
  • ISE Sentiment 162.0 +13.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.81 +56.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 61.5 +6.0%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.08 +9.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .81 +16.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.8 -7.1%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing .43 -63.0%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 17.1 -12.9%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.49 -4.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.88 -4.7%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 15,682.3 +4.1%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  93.8 +6.4
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.018 Trillion +.3%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$5.903 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 49.0 -.2%
  • AAII % Bears 22.6 -7.8%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 78.0 (Extreme Greed) +11.0
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 273.57 +2.2%
  • Crude Oil 76.58/bbl. +6.1%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 233.3 +9.1%
  • Natural Gas 1.85 -11.7%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 27.1 euros/megawatt-hour -8.1%
  • Heating Oil 295.34 +10.8% 
  • Newcastle Coal 125.0 (1,000/metric ton) +5.5%
  • Gold 2,024.5 -.7%
  • Silver 22.56 -.5%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 398.60 -2.5%
  • Copper 368.45 -3.5%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 416.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.72%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 128.3 USD/Metric Tonne +1.8%
  • CME Lumber  552.0 -1.1%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,497.6 +.15%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 315.0 USD/Short Ton -.79%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +3.4% -.8 percentage point
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.28 +72.7%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 147.7 +52.9%
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(334 of 500 reporting) +5.1% +1.1 percentage points
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 245.15 +1.01:  Growth Rate +10.7% +.4 percentage point, P/E 20.4 +.1
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 11.28% -16.0 basis points
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +44.2% unch.
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 303.38 +7.56: Growth Rate +42.2% +3.5 percentage points, P/E 32.5 +.2
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.1 +4.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 20.90 +13.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.5 +1.9 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 17.5%(-2.5 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 82.5%(+2.5 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 3/320
  • US Dollar Index 104.07 +.1%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,723.4 -.16%
  • Bitcoin/USD 47,472.0 +11.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 173.92 +.73%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -30.25 +3.75 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.19% +16.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.595 Trillion +.03% 
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.397 Billion -11.4%
  • Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $164.869 Billion -.22%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.5 -1.1%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 189.4 +2.6%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 159.0 +1.0 basis point
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.3 -4.4%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 63.8 -.52%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 135.82 -.09%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 123.21 -6.8%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.97 -2.6%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.54 +.49%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 86.78 -.08%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.8% -20.0 basis points
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.1% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.66% unch.: CPI YoY +2.94% -2.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25% +4.0 basis points
  • Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 8.0 basis points +2.75 basis points
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -13.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.25 +2.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 54.35 -.98%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 154.0 -.34
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 332.0 +6.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 69.57 +.20%
  • Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 219.92 +6.7%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 178.09 -.89%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 151.0 +3.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 842.0 -31.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .68 -3.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -2.3% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,252.5B -1.0%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 212,250 +1.8%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% -10.0 basis points
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 51.8 +2.2%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.16% +25.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 210,000 +3.7%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +5.50% +20.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -7.0% -1.0 percentage point
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $78.7M -7.0%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.17/gallon +.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,473.0 +4.7%
  • Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,785.8/40 ft Box -.99%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,455.2 -.66%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 42.5 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 45.2 -6.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 269,484 +4.0%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,302,124 +31.4%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth +3.5%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value unch.
Leading Sectors
  • Gambling +5.6%
  • Disk Drives +5.5%
  • Semis +5.5%
  • Computer Hardware +5.2%
  • Alt Energy +4.7%
Lagging Sectors
  • Utilities -2.1%
  • Shipping -2.2%
  • Social Media -2.6%
  • Foods -3.1%
  • Gold & Silver -3.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (62)
  • DOOR, CLSK, NET, VERA, IGMS, RIOT, MSTR, MARA, MWA, ENVX, STEP, ONTO, PATH, HDSN, VKTX, DOCN, WOR, OSCR, CTRE, OWL, AMAT, VCTR, MDB, COIN, AI, GPRE, KVYO, COIN, SMCI, HOG, FSLY, COOP, TTMI, ARVN, LRCX, CGEM, QNST, SCSC, ATR, AMPL, SNOW, EVER, POWI, REVG, WEAV, DDOG, IOT, FROG, SBRA, ZM, FE, PI, AAOI, CART, POWL, ARCB, RPD, UCTT, ALPN and KD
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (24)
  • PEP, HSY, PEAK, LSPD, PAYC, VSTS, DT, ROAD, SXT, FLO, HAE, NCLH, MGA, OC, WPC, TEX, TTWO, EMBC, RAMP, PINS, LEG, BILL, AMCX and EXPE
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

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