 |
| S&P 500 7,575.7 +1.2% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 52,693.0 -.5%
- NASDAQ 26,290.2 +1.8%
- Russell 2000 2,979.7 -.5%
- NYSE FANG+ 17,591.5 +2.7%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 325.8 -2.8%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 36.2 -.1%
- Wilshire 5000 75,060.8 +.94%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,989.4 +2.2%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,427.0 -.2%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 930.9 -1.4%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 262.8 +1.1%
- NYSE Technology 9,734.2 +1.6%
- Transports 22,186.7 +.7%
- Utilities 1,145 -1.3%
- MSCI Europe Banks 128.8 -1.0%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 66.7 +1.8%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 269.17 +.6%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 136.1 -.1%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 621,728 -.02%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 14.0 +21.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 268 -344
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -13.4 +9.2%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 110,531 -3.6%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,914,443 +.1%
- Total Put/Call .76 -32.1%
- OEX Put/Call .17 -12.5%
- ISE Sentiment 179.0 +3.5%
- NYSE Arms .94 +15.9%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 126.1 +3.3%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.16 +3.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.59 +7.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 15.3 -5.0%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .70 -54.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 7.26 -11.4%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.08 -2.9%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.72 unch.
- Smart Money Flow Index 18,410.9 +1.5%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 83.0 -1.7
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.953 Trillion +.1%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$5.828 Million
- AAII % Bulls 36.3 +15.6%
- AAII % Bears 37.2 -12.1%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 25.0 (Moved to NEUTRAL from FEAR) +16.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 368.51 +4.4%
- Crude Oil 71.6/bbl. +4.3%
- Reformulated Gasoline 299.3 +2.3%
- Natural Gas 2.95 -8.4%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 82.0 USD/Megawatt +3.0%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 48.4 euros/megawatt-hour +7.4%
- Heating Oil 355.5 +11.5%
- Newcastle Coal 129.0 (1,000/metric ton) unch.
- Gold 4,098.2 -1.8%
- Silver 59.5 -4.5%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 173.2 +2.1%
- Copper 627.7 +1.7%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 396.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.3%
- China Iron Ore Spot 99.20 USD/Metric Tonne +.9
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 24,025.0 USD/metric tonne +1.5% Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index 1.64(price per million tokens) +1.1% - inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR5 16Gb 1Gx16 46.06 +2.7%
- CME Lumber 635.0 +1.6%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,460.9 +4.7%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 337.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
- US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 386.5 USD/Short Ton +6.2%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +1.3% +.2 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 14.5 -.1 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 3.17 +24.3%
- Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 169.1 +97.5%
- Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 56.0 -7.0
- Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 72.0% -1.0 percentage point
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 310.0 +.3%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .6 +.1
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(17 of 500 reporting) +136.8% +n/a
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 372.94 +n/a: Growth Rate +26.7% +n/a, P/E 20.2 +n/a
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 15.64% +unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(1 of 10 reporting) +1,226.6% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 900.55 +n/a: Growth Rate +73.7% +n/a, P/E 19.5 +n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 57.8 +.2 point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 3.9 +10.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 34.0 -4.6 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 66.3%(-15.5 percentage points) chance of no change, 33.7%(+15.5 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 7/29
- US Dollar Index 100.98 +.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,862.0 +.2%
- Bitcoin/USD 63,753.2 +1.9%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 211.05 +.09%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.39 +.7%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 35.75 +1.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.57% +8.0 basis points
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.90% -15.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.689 Trillion unch.
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.607 Billion -13.9%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.1 -2.3%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 182.7 +.4%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 74.0 -3.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.0 +.9%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.6 -1.8%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 123.7 -1.1%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 55.4 -5.8%
- Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 61.9 -2.9%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.2 -1.2%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.1 +.1%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 118.1 +1.2%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.3% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.9% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.5% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.43% unch.: CPI YoY +3.92% -4.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 1.31 unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26 +3.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 26.75 +13.75 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -14.5 +.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .75 unch.
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.1 +1.3%
- BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 70.4 +.2%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 109.0 -4.4%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 447.25 -3.0%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 201.0 +8.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 54.3 +1.9%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 139.9 -.5%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 109.0 +1.0 basis point
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 555.0 +9.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .46 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +5.6% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,395.3B +2.5%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 218,750 -1.7%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.2 unch.
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.56% unch.
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 266.30 -2.2%
- Weekly Retail Sales +10.10% +40.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +13.0% +2.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $254.0M -23.8%
- Nationwide Gas $3.88/gallon +.06/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,910.0 +7.1%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $4,638.6/40 ft Box +2.4%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,811.2 +5.9%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 210.0 +13.5%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 99.96 -26.8%
- Rail Freight Carloads 269,430 -8.1%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,705,781 +43.74%
- US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 89.6 -.8 point
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% +5.0 percentage points
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +2.2%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value -.5%
Leading Sectors
- Computer Hardware +7.8%
- Oil Service +4.2%
- Energy +4.1%
- Shipping +3.7%
- Networking +3.4%
Lagging Sectors
- Pharma -3.5%
- Gold & Silver -4.1%
- Airlines -4.8%
- Drone Tech -7.9%
- Space -9.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (24)
- FBRX, VOD, BNED, ALM, BBW, WHR, JXN, REZI, KB, GGAL, SEI, WPP, CAKE, MLTX, META, SE, CRCL, KOD, EPAC, CNMD, LEVI, MTN, SBAC and CCI
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (11)
- AZN, EXE, VOR, ALNY, SXT, MDA, BKD, TARS, FSUN, IONS, QFIN
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
No comments:
Post a Comment