Tuesday, October 09, 2012

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Mid-Cap Growth -1.50%
Sector Underperformer:
  • 1) Medical Equipment -3.31% 2) Computer -2.50% 3) Homebuilding -2.10%
Stocks Faling on Unusual Volume:
  • PVA, LPI, DTV, FULT, FXEN, PHK, SAND, EW, PHT, OPTR, OC, BECN, LUX, PCN, PRGS, ANGO, PAY, PTY, WPC, ACWI, CYT, SCSC, AMAG, NFLX, AFSI, ZMH, BIDU, ISRG, ARTC, CHUY and VMW
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) PHM 2) VMW 3) EWJ 4) PAY 5) XLV
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) NFLX 2) TEX 3) ISRG 4) BKS 5) ISIL
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value -.40%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Oil Service +.59% 2) Steel +.46% 3) REITs -.09%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • GPOR, NFX, SPB, CLF and QCOR
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) NRG 2) LLY 3) ALXA 4) SCO 5) MMM
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) TUES 2) NEM 3) AXP 4) TXN 5) LMT
Charts:

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg: 
  • IMF Sees ‘Alarmingly High’ Risk of Deeper Global Slump. The International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecasts as the euro area’s debt crisis intensifies and warned of even slower expansion unless officials in the U.S. and Europe address threats to their economies. The world economy will grow 3.3 percent this year, the slowest since the 2009 recession, and 3.6 percent next year, the IMF said today, compared with July predictions of 3.5 percent in 2012 and 3.9 percent in 2013. The Washington-based lender now sees “alarmingly high” risks of a steeper slowdown, with a one-in-six chance of growth slipping below 2 percent. “A key issue is whether the global economy is just hitting another bout of turbulence in what was always expected to be a slow and bumpy recovery or whether the current slowdown has a more lasting component,” the IMF said in its World Economic Outlook report. “The answer depends on whether European and U.S. policy makers deal proactively with their major short-term economic challenges.”  
  • Rajoy’s Deepening Budget Black Hole Outpaces Spain Deficit Cuts. The black hole in Spain’s budget has grown faster than Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s attempt to cut it, portending the same dynamic that has squeezed Greece. The harshest austerity since the return to democracy in 1978 has failed to contain the deficit as the economy sinks deeper into recession. The shortfall rose in the first half of the year, as it did in the previous 12 months. Even after a sales-tax increase and health-care cuts kick in this quarter, it may still approach last year’s 9.4 percent of gross domestic product, said Ignacio Conde-Ruiz, an economist at the independent Applied Economic Research Foundation in Madrid. The fiscal and political consequences of demanding austerity in a shrinking economy highlight the dilemma facing Rajoy. To trigger a European financial lifeline, he may have to impose yet more cuts, repeating the pattern seen in Greece, Portugal and Ireland. “There is no chance that Spain will hit its targets,” Megan Greene, director of European economics at Roubini Global Economics LLC, said in a telephone interview. “The deficit targets are economic suicide. 
  • Spain Foreclosures Spread to Once Wealthy: Mortgages. Home foreclosures in Spain, which disproportionately affected lower-income immigrants after the real estate bubble burst, are spreading to formerly well-to-do families and businessmen as they run out of ways to pay mortgages in a deepening recession. Spanish business people, upper middle class families and their loan guarantors, typically parents of first-time buyers, now account for 60 percent of foreclosures in Madrid, according to AFES, an association that advises homeowners facing repossession. Three years ago, 80 percent of foreclosures were on the homes of immigrants, usually the first to lose jobs and fall behind on loan payments in a souring economy. They now comprise 40 percent of the total, according to AFES. “Repossessions are encroaching further into the city centers, like an overflowing river,” said Emilio Miravet, head of real estate finance at the Spanish property unit of advisory and investment firm Catella AB. “At the beginning of the crisis, it was homes in the periphery areas belonging to the less affluent that were being foreclosed upon.
  • Fiat to Cut Forecasts for European Auto Market, CEO Says. Fiat SpA (F) will cut its outlook for the European auto market when the company updates its five-year plan that runs through 2014, Chief Executive Officer Sergio Marchionne said. To assume that the Fiat’s outlook for Europe is going to be confirmed “is nonsense because the market won’t be there,” Marchionne told reporters yesterday in Columbus, Ohio. “We will be updating our forecasts for ’13 and ’14 as a consequence.
  • Depositors Fleeing Euro Get Negative Rates at State Street, BNY. State Street Corp. (STT) and Bank of New York Mellon Corp., two of the world’s biggest custody banks, will charge depositors to hold Danish kroner and Swiss francs as customers seek refuge from the crisis-stricken euro. “It does look customer-unfriendly, but since State Street’s mainly dealing with institutions I would think that people would be more understanding,” said Richard Herring, a professor of international banking at the University of Pennsylvania. “The overall problem is the distortions that are caused by the monetary policies that are being pursued in the major countries.
  • China’s Copper Consumption Set to Drop 8.5% in 2012, Hunt Says. Copper consumption in China will contract this year for the first time since 2008 as demand falters and inventories climb in the largest user, before rebounding in 2013, according to Simon Hunt Strategic Services. Consumption will decline about 8.5 percent to 5.6 million metric tons in 2012, said Simon Hunt, chief executive officer of the Weybridge, Surrey-based consultancy, which compiles research and analysis on the global market. Next year, usage may expand about 5.6 percent to 5.9 million tons, Hunt said in an interview in Singapore after visiting China for two weeks last month. Hunt’s assessment adds to signs that China’s slowdown is hurting demand for commodities. “The safety valve of exports has gone, the domestic economy is slowing down, they have a problem of surplus capacity and cash is extraordinarily tight,” said Hunt, who estimated total copper reserves in China at 3.5 million tons, including reported and unreported stockpiles. “There are no signals of a recovery in heavy industry and manufacturing.” “There’s huge amount of inventories of all types,” said Hunt, whose visit to China included one of the top five power- cable makers. “You walk round and trip over drums of cables.” 
  • India Growth to Drop to Decade Low Amid High Inflation, IMF Says. Indian growth may weaken to a decade- low this year after investment stalled, the International Monetary Fund said, as it called for interest rates to remain unchanged until the nation’s high inflation rate eases. Gross domestic product will rise 4.9 percent in 2012, less than a July forecast of 6.1 percent, the Washington-based lender said in its World Economic Outlook report today. The expansion will accelerate to 6 percent next year, it said, helped by improving overseas markets and a boost to confidence from a recent government policy revamp. “The outlook for India is unusually uncertain,” the IMF said. “Monetary policy should stay on hold until a sustained decrease in inflation materializes.” Indian inflation probably accelerated to 7.71 percent in September, a nine-month high, according to a Bloomberg News survey before a report due Oct. 15.
  • N. Korea Says Its Rockets Capable of Hitting U.S. Continent. A North Korean military official said the totalitarian country has rockets capable of hitting the U.S. as well as American military bases in Japan and Guam. An unidentified National Defense Commission official made the statement in the state-run Korean Central News Agency in response to the U.S. this month agreeing to let South Korea extend the range of its ballistic missiles to 800 kilometers (497 miles) to protect against a possible attack from the North.
Wall Street Journal: 
  • Huawei Fires Back at the U.S. Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei Technologies Inc. lashed out Monday at a scathing congressional report, calling allegations that it may be spying on Americans and violating U.S. laws "little more than an exercise in China-bashing." Huawei and a second Chinese telecom, ZTE Corp., launched aggressive global campaigns to counter the conclusions of the House intelligence committee report, which warned U.S. companies against doing business with the two firms.
  • Stress for Banks, As Tests Loom. U.S. banks and the Federal Reserve are battling over a new round of "stress tests" even before the annual exams get going later this fall. The clash centers on the math regulators are using to produce the results. Bankers want more detail on how the calculations are made, and the Fed thus far has resisted disclosing more than it has already. 
  • Iran Raises Rhetoric Against Israel. Iran accused Israel of launching cyberattacks on its oil facilities and derided the Jewish state's air defenses, although it didn't take responsibility for a drone that entered the Jewish state's airspace Saturday before Israel shot it down. 
  • Obama Is Urged to Get Tough. Supporters Disagree Over Debate Approach as Poll Finds Romney Taking the Lead. 
  • Romney's World. A contrast with Obama on the benefits of U.S. global leadership.
Zero Hedge:  
Business Insider: 
CNN:  
Pew Research Center:
  • Romney 49%, Obama 45% Among Likely Voters. Romney’s Strong Debate Performance Erases Obama’s Lead. GOP Challenger Viewed as Candidate with New Ideas. By about three-to-one, voters say Romney did a better job than Obama in the Oct. 3 debate, and the Republican is now better regarded on most personal dimensions and on most issues than he was in September. Romney is seen as the candidate who has new ideas and is viewed as better able than Obama to improve the jobs situation and reduce the budget deficit. Fully 66% of registered voters say Romney did the better job in last Wednesday’s debate, compared with just 20% who say Obama did better.
Reuters: 
Telegraph: 
Nikkei:
  • Japan Plans to Increase Remote Island Defenses. The nation's defense ministry is strengthening efforts to protect remote islands, citing a Defense Ministry official. U.S. and Japanese defense chiefs last month agreed to cooperate more in dealing with China.
China Securities Journal:
  • Buying, Holding China Stocks Not Top Choice. The strategy of buying and holding China's stocks isn't the top choice now as market trends aren't "clear," China Securities Journal published on its front page a commentary written by Wei Jing, a reporter at the newspaper.
Evening Recommendations Bernstein:
  • Downgraded (INTC) to Underperform, target $20.
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are -.50% to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 130.25 +.75 basis point.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 109.25 unch.
  • FTSE-100 futures +.19%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.19%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.19%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • (CVX)/3.06
  • (YUM)/.97
  • (AA)/.00
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for September is estimated to rise to 93.5 versus 92.9 in August.
10:00 am EST
  • The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index for October is estimated to fall to 50.0 versus 51.8 in September.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Italian GDP report, Eurozone Finance Ministers meeting, ECB's Draghi speaking, weekly retail sales report, 3Y T-Note auction, Deutsche Bank Leveraged Finance Conference, (BAX) analyst day, (FDX) investors/lenders meeting, (FISV) investor conference and the (WOR) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and real estate shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

Monday, October 08, 2012

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, Rising Eurozone Debt Angst, Earnings Jitters, Tech/Homebuilder Sector Weakness

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 15.26 +6.49%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 111.0 +29.07%
  • Total Put/Call .82 -9.89%
  • NYSE Arms 1.02 -17.38%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 95.25 bps +.15%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 182.50 bps +2.16%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 135.93 bps -1.15%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 214.50 bps +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.75 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% unch.
  • Yield Curve 148.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $110.40/Metric Tonne +5.95%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 43.40 -.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.57 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -51 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +13 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long
BOTTOM LINE: Today's overall market action is bearish as the S&P 500 trades lower on rising global growth fears, high food/energy prices, earnings worries, growing Mid-east unrest, China/Japan tensions, rising US election uncertainty and US "fiscal cliff" worries. On the positive side, Coal, Steel, Retail and Restaurant shares are especially strong, rising more than +.5%. The Transports are also relatively firm. Oil is falling -.2%, gold is down -.3% and the UBS-Bloomberg Ag Spot Index is down -.45%. Brazilian shares are bouncing +.9% today after recent losses. On the negative side, Oil Tanker, Semi, Biotech, Construction and Homebuilding shares are especially weak, falling more than -1.0%. Lumber is falling -.6% and Copper is falling +1.3%. Major Asian indices were lower overnight, led down by a -1.21% decline in India. Major European indices are lower today, weighed down by a -2.0% decline in Italy. The Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services Index is -1.7%. The Spain 10Y Yld is rising +.5% to 5.71% and the Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread is gaining +1.95% to 360.31 bps. The US sovereign cds is down -.4% to 41.5 bps, but has soared +53.4% since 9/19. The UBS/Bloomberg Ag Spot Index is up +21.6% since 6/1. The benchmark China Iron/Ore Spot Index is down -39.0% since 9/7/11. The China Hot Rolled Steel Sheet Spot Index also continues to trend lower despite the recent bounce. As well, copper, oil and lumber continue to trade poorly given equity investor perceptions that the Eurozone has successfully kicked-the-can, housing has hit a major bottom and global central bank stimuli will boost economic growth in the near future. US weekly retail sales have decelerated to a sluggish rate at +2.4%. The Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index has shown meaningful deceleration since early July. Moreover, the weekly MBA Home Purchase Applications Index has been around the same level since May 2010 despite investor perceptions of a big improvement in the nationwide housing market. The Baltic Dry Index has plunged around -60.0% from its Oct. 14th high and is now down around -50.0% ytd. Shanghai Copper Inventories have risen +343.0% ytd. Oil tanker rates have plunged, with the benchmark Middle East-to-US voyage down to 22.50 industry-standard worldscale points, which is very near the lowest since May, 2009. The 10Y T-Note continues to trade too well during the recent equity rally. There still appears to be a fairly high level of complacency among US investors regarding the deteriorating macro backdrop. It remains unclear to me whether or not Germany will destroy its own balance sheet or allow the ECB to monetize debt in a major way in an attempt to "save" the euro even as investors continue to price this outcome into stocks. Massive tax hikes and spending cuts have still yet to hit in several key eurozone countries that are already in recession. A lack of economic competitiveness and growth incentives remain unaddressed problems. The European debt crisis is also really affecting emerging market economies now, which will further pressure exports from the region and further raise the odds of more sovereign/bank downgrades after the US election. I continue to believe that China's problems are much larger than commonly perceived and cannot be solved with another massive stimulus package given their real estate bubble, rising food prices/labor costs, massive overcapacity in certain key parts of the economy and growing bad loans problem. Little being done by global central bankers will actually boost global economic growth to an extent that overcomes the growing macro headwinds over the intermediate-term, in my opinion. Over the intermediate-term the Fed's recklessness greatly increases the chances of hard-landings in key emerging markets and of a serious global stock swoon, in my opinion. Moreover, uncertainty surrounding the effects on business of Obamacare, the "US fiscal cliff" and rising election outcome uncertainty will likely become more and more of a focus for US investors into the fourth quarter. The Mid-east continues to unravel at an alarming rate, as well. The quality of the stock rally off the June lows remains poor as breadth, volume, leadership, lack of big volume/gainers and copper/lumber/transports relative weakness all continue to be concerns. Thus, recent market p/e multiple expansion on global central bank stimulus/action hopes, has created an unstable situation for equities, which could become a big problem unless a significant macro catalyst materializes soon. For this year's equity advance to regain traction, I would expect to see further European credit gauge improvement, a subsiding of hard-landing fears in key emerging markets, a rising 10-year yield, better volume, stable-to-lower food/energy prices, a US "fiscal cliff" solution, a calming in Mid-east and China/Japan tensions, less US election uncertainty and higher-quality stock market leadership. I expect US stocks to trade modestly lower into the close from current levels on rising global growth fears, earnings worries, Japan & China/Mideast tensions, more shorting, more shorting, rising US election uncertainty, profit-taking and US "fiscal cliff" concerns.

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg: 
  • Europe Starts $648 Billion Aid Fund, Rules Out Immediate Use. European governments set up a full- time 500 billion-euro ($648 billion) fund to aid debt-swamped countries and, not for the first time in the three-year crisis, expressed confidence that the extra financial muscle won’t be needed anytime soon. Finance ministers from the 17 euro countries declared the European Stability Mechanism operational, while saying that Spain, its biggest potential near-term customer, isn’t on the verge of tapping it. Decisions were also put off on Greece’s next aid payment and on an assistance program for Cyprus. 
  • European Stocks Retreat Most This Month; Cookson Sinks. European stocks dropped the most this month as the World Bank cut its East Asian growth forecast and investors awaited a meeting of euro-area finance ministers for signs on how they will tackle the debt crisis. Cookson Group Plc (CKSN) sank 12 percent as the world’s biggest maker of ceramic linings for metal smelters said annual results will miss its forecasts. KBC Groep NV (KBC) retreated 5.2 percent as the bank’s strategy update disappointed investors. Eurobank Ergasias SA advanced 5.1 percent after a takeover offer from National Bank of Greece SA. (ETE). The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost 1 percent to 271.43 at the close of trading, the largest decline since Sept. 28.
  •  Bearish France Bets at 14-Month High to DAX on Budget: Options. Options traders are sending the cost of protecting against a decline in French stocks to the highest level in more than a year relative to German equities after President Francois Hollande's first annual budget raised taxes on big companies and the rich. 
  • Spending Cuts No Longer Yield Earnings Growth at U.S. Companies. Profit gains earned through job cuts and factory closings in the absence of a global economic recovery are starting to reach their limit. Third-quarter profits and sales for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) probably fell in unison for the first time in three years, according to analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Per-share earnings may have dropped 1.7 percent on average after they were little changed in the second quarter. Sales may have slipped 0.6 percent, the data show. While most companies plan to keep a lid on spending, lower expenses aren’t leading to the same kinds of increases they reported earlier this year. Hewlett-Packard Co., the world’s largest personal-computer maker, already forecast full-year profit that trailed analysts’ estimates, FedEx Corp. (FDX) cut its annual earnings forecast and Intel Corp. (INTC) projected lower third- quarter sales, with all three citing softening demand. “A lot of the earnings growth that we’ve seen has been related to cost reductions,” said Peter Jankovskis, co-chief investment officer for Oakbrook Investments in Lisle, Illinois, which manages more than $3 billion. “Now many of those cost reduction efforts have run their course. Without revenue growth, there is no room for profit to expand further.
  • Hedge Funds Cutting Trading Budgets Amid Slump, Survey Finds. Hedge funds are cutting trading costs amid a decline in volumes and muted performance for the $2.1 trillion industry, a survey found. Forty-four percent of hedge funds polled by Greenwich Associates said they will spend less on their trading desks than in 2011, according to a statement released by the Stamford, Connecticut-based company today. About 40 percent of hedge funds said their trading budgets would be unchanged this year, while 17 percent plan an increase, the survey found.
  • Traders Eye Grain Prices Rebound as Supply Set to Tighten. Grain prices that tumbled in recent weeks may rebound as demand stays robust while global stockpiles tighten after drought hurt crops from the U.S. to Russia.
  • California Facing $5 Gasoline Stirs Brown to Relax Rules. Gasoline closing in on a record $5 a gallon prompted Governor Jerry Brown to direct California regulators to relax smog controls so oil refineries could increase supplies of cheaper fuel. Regular gasoline in California surged to an average $4.668 a gallon, an all-time high and 22 percent more than the U.S. average, according to data today from AAA, the nation’s largest motoring organization. Some stations were charging as much as $5.89 in the Big Sur area, according to GasBuddy.com.
  • Romney Tied With Obama in 3-Day Post-Debate Poll. Republican Mitt Romney has pulled even with President Barack Obama since their first presidential debate, overcoming a narrow advantage Obama had held, according to Gallup’s daily tracking survey. In the three days after the Obama-Romney debate on Oct. 3, Gallup found 47 percent of registered voters supporting the president and 47 percent backing his Republican rival. In the three days before the Denver debate, Obama held a 50-45- percentage-point advantage over Romney, the polling found.
  • UnitedHealth(UNH) to Buy Brazil Insurer Amil for $4.9 Billion. UnitedHealth Group Inc., the biggest U.S. health insurance company, agreed to pay about $4.9 billion to buy 90 percent of Amil Participacoes SA (AMIL3), a Brazil-based insurer and hospital chain that gives the American company a stake in the world’s second-biggest emerging economy. 
  • Lilly(LLY) Alzheimer’s Drug Slows Mental Decline, Study Finds. Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY)’s experimental Alzheimer’s treatment slowed memory loss and cognitive decline in early-stage patients by about 30 percent, offering the first evidence that a medication may hamper the course of the ailment, researchers said.
Wall Street Journal: 
CNBC: 
Zero Hedge:
Business Insider:
 Bespoke:
NewsMax:
Reuters:  
  • Iran would need 2-4 months to amass bomb material - think tank. Iran would currently need at least two to four months to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for one nuclear bomb, and additional time to make the device itself, a U.S. security institute said on Monday. Estimates of how quickly Iran could enrich its uranium to the fissile level required for bombs are closely watched as they may give an indication of how much time its foes believe they have to prevent it obtaining nuclear weapons, if and when it decided to do so.  
  • Turkish president says "worst case" unfolding in Syria. Turkish President Abdullah Gul said on Monday the "worst-case scenarios" were now playing out in Syria and Turkey would do everything necessary to protect itself, as its army fired back for a sixth day after a shell from Syria flew over the border. Gul said the violence in Turkey's southern neighbour, where a revolt against President Bashar al-Assad has evolved into a civil war that threatens to draw in regional powers, could not go on indefinitely and Assad's fall was inevitable. "The worst-case scenarios are taking place right now in Syria ... Our government is in constant consultation with the Turkish military. Whatever is needed is being done immediately as you see, and it will continue to be done," Gul said.  
  • Copper falls to week-low on strong dollar, demand uncertainty.
Telegraph: 
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung:
  • German Chancellor Angela Merkel won't make any promises about supporting additional financial aid for Greece when visiting the country tomorrow, citing officials.
Nikkei:
  • Suzuki Sept. China Sales Plunge -44.5%. The decline accelerated in mid-Sept. as anti-Japan protests grew, citing the co. The company still expects -20.0% y/y declines in coming months.

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth -.80%
Sector Underperformer:
  • 1) Homebuilders -1.71% 2) Oil Tankers -1.23% 3) Semis -1.13%
Stocks Faling on Unusual Volume:
  • OZRK, AAPL, AMCX, CLMT, BMA, SZYM, BT, AEG, GDOT, EZPW, PRGS, PHK, HPY, WPC, IOSP, SHF, ACOR, SFUN, NBTB, AZN, JBL, SPH, BJRI, CTXS, IBB, NP, ASR, XEC, MELI, SRPT and VHC
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) CNX 2) ARO 3) DELL 4) DIS 5) KMX
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) SFY 2) ISIL 3) EMN 4) TGT 5) JCI
Charts: