Friday, August 02, 2024

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

  • Small-Cap Growth -3.7%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Semis -5.8% 2) Oil Service -5.4% 3) Gambling -4.7%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • SHAK, WDC, VRT, PINS, C, OMF, AXP, CDNS, SGH, MRNA, CCJ, WOLF, CLS, ACLS, LRCX, CLMT, CFLT, BKNG, ASML, BFH, KLAC, ALB, MCHP, APO, RGA, JBL, DKNG, COHR, IRTC, WSC, AMZN, SNPS, CIVI, PRU, SEM, SMFG, MP, BZH, FORM, LNC, NXT, HTGC, ZIMV, BECN, TROX, CC, AL, OLED, TWST, TEAM, PCOR, GTLS, XPOF, OEC, INTC and TPC
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) AEM 2) IGV 3) CHPT 4) CFG 5) UNP
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) CRWD 2) SNAP 3) INTC 4) AMZN 5) MU
Sector ETFs With Most Negative Money Flow:
  • 1) XLE 2) KRE 3) AIQ 4) XLI 5) XLY

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value -1.9%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Restaurants +.4% 2) Foods +.3% 3) Utilities +.1%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • TNDM, IAS, RKT, RARE, FDP, BFAM, MELI, TWLO, FLYW, GDYN, SAVA, DASH, RYAN, NET, DJT, CLX, INSP, MMSI, CNK, EZPW, MKTX, OHI, CBOE, BUD, PSA, PFSI, REG, ELS, CPT, AMH, ABR and ALAB
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) AHCO 2) KVUE 3) BITI 4) OIH 5) GPN
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) TNDM 2) NET 3) FLYW 4) DASH 5) TWLO
Sector ETFs With Most Positive Money Flow:
  • 1) XLU 2) XLK 3) XLV 4) SOXX 5) XLC
Charts:

Monday's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (BNTX)/-2.02
  • (CG)/.83
  • (FRPT)/-.04
  • (KRYS)/.74
  • (SAH)/1.38
  • (THS)/.13
  • (TSN)/.57
After the Close: 
  • (CAR)/2.49
  • (BCC)/2.68
  • (CHGG)/.23
  • (CSX)/.48
  • (FANG)/4.50
  • (SPG)/2.95
  • (SUM)/.61
  • (VNO)/.54
  • (WMB)/.38
  • (YUMC)/.47
Economic Releases

10:00 am EST

  • ISM Services Index for July is estimated to rise to 51.0 versus 48.8 in June.
  • ISM Prices Paid for July.

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Daly speaking, Senior Bank Loan Officer Survey and the KeyBanc Tech Leadership Forum could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running +55.8% Above 100-Day Average 
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.7 -3.1
  • 11 Sectors Declining, 0 Sectors Rising
  • 17.6% of Issues Advancing, 81.2% Declining 
  • TRIN/Arms 1.72 +17.8%
  • Non-Block Money Flow +$528.6M
  • 134 New 52-Week Highs, 113 New Lows
  • 55.0% (-11.2%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 42.0 -13
Other:
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 35.5 -25.9%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 222.3 -3.0%
  • Russell 1000: Growth/Value 19,406.8 +.15%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 26.0 (FEAR) -13.0
  • 1-Day Vix 27.9 +14.3%
  • Vix 26.0 +40.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.16 +27.5%

Thursday, August 01, 2024

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (ARCB)/2.07
  • (BERY)/2.07
  • (CBOE)2.10
  • (CVX)/2.93
  • (CHD)/.84
  • (XOM).2,02
  • (FLR)/.67
  • (LYB)/2.23
  • (MGA)/1.44
  • (PRGO)/.46
  • (PPL)/.33
  • (AES)/.36
  • (SRCL)/.55
After the Close: 
  • None of note
Economic Releases

8:30 am EST

  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for July is estimated to fall to 175K versus 206K in June.
  • The Unemployment Rate for July is estimated at 4.1% versus 4.1% in June.
  • Average Hourly Earnings MoM for July is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in June.

10:00 am EST

  • Factory Orders for June is estimated to fall -3.2% versus a -.5% decline in May.
  • Durable Goods Orders final revisions for June.

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The US Baker Hughes Rig Count and weekly CFTC speculative positioning reports could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +1.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 95.5 -1.0 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 62.75 -2.5 basis points.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 102.9 USD/Metric Tonne +2.0%
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 39.0 -.02%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 51.4 +2.2%.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 15.8 -1.6%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.27%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.62%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.98%.  
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to maintain gains into the afternoon.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.