BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is higher into the final hour on gains in my Retail longs, Computer longs, Semi longs and Commodity shorts. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 100% net long. The tone of the market is slightly negative as the advance/decline line is modestly lower, most sectors are higher and volume is about average. OPEC is saying there is a "clear imbalance" between supply and demand and that they will consider an output cut at the December 14 meeting. As well, OPEC's Daukoru said 872,000 bpd are shut-in in Nigeria and that output should come back in 3-6 months. I suspect an OPEC output cut and a substantial increase in oil tanker supply over the intermediate-term will send oil tanker shares substantially lower from current levels. My favorite short in the group remains OMI Corp. (OMM). I expect US stocks to trade modestly higher into the close from current levels on bargain hunting, short covering and declining energy prices.
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Monday, September 11, 2006
Stocks Mixed into Final Hour as Falling Commodity Shares Offset Gains Elsewhere
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