Thursday, May 17, 2007

Friday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Precision Castparts Corp.(PCP), a maker of metal forgings used in jet engines, may replace MedImmune Inc.(MEDI) in the S&P 500 Index, according to an analyst at Wachovia Capital Markets LLC.
- Bill Gross, manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, is sticking to his call that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.
- The yen headed for a fourth weekly decline against the US dollar as signs of weakening growth in Japan are likely to keep the Bank of Japan from lifting borrowing costs anytime soon.
- Copper prices fell to their lowest in eight weeks in Shanghai on concern that rising production and inventories in China, the world’s biggest consumer of the metal, may signal a glut in the market. The world’s copper surplus will rise to 520,000 metric tons next year from 280,000 tons this year, the Lisbon-based International Copper Study Group said.
- Crude oil was little changed near a three-week high in NY after rising more than $2 a barrel yesterday on speculation refiners won’t restore below-average US gasoline stockpiles before the summer demand peaks.

Wall Street Journal:
- General Electric(GE) is close to selling its plastics unit for about $11 billion. Saudi Basic Industries, known as Sabic, and Basell, a unit of Access Industries, are the remaining suitors after a long auction process.

Business Week:
- Current and former employees at Wall Street firms including Bear Stearns(BSC), Morgan Stanley(MS), Goldman Sachs(GS) and Merrill Lynch(MER) are being investigated over alleged kickbacks involving short sellers.

Financial Times:
- Britons bought goods worth $6.9 over the Internet last month, an increase of 55% compared with April 2006, citing Interactive Media in Retail Group. Interactive Media had expected UK internet sales to increase 39% this year.

Financial Express:
- The Tata Group is in talks with JC Penney(JCP) and Woolworths Ltd. for its retail business. Infiniti Retail, a fully owned unit of Tata Sons Ltd., may seek a technical alliance with JC Penney for its apparel segment and with Woolworths for its supermarket division.

Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:

- Rated (GET) Buy, target $68.
- Raised (RVBD) to Buy, target raised to $52.
- Raised (VZ) to Buy from Sell, target raised to $48.
- Reiterated Buy on (KYPH), target $54.
- Reiterated Buy on (AKAM), target $68.

CSFB:
- Investors should use options to bet the US dollar will extend gains against the British currency as US economic growth accelerates.

Business Week:
- Morton’s Restaurant Group(MRT), a steakhouse chain, is benefiting from boardroom business. The chain receives about 20% of sales from private rooms tailored to function as ad hoc boardrooms.
- VeriChip Corp.(CHIP) shares may almost triple to $12 in a year as more hospitals and doctors use the company’s product, citing William Woodward of Anthem Venture Partners.
- OfficeMax(OMX) could be acquired by Staples(SPLS) or Office Deport(ODP). The top two competitors only have a 20% share of the office supply market, and buying OfficeMax would add to either company’s earnings with a buyout price in the mid-$50 range, citing Jack Cunningham, CIO at J&W Seligman.

Night Trading
Asian Indices are -.75% to +.25% on average.
S&P 500 indicated -.03%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.01%.

Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Conference Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Consumer/Investor Daily Indices
CNBC Guest Schedule

Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- None

Upcoming Splits
- (IEX) 3-for-2

Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
- The Preliminary Univ. of Mich. Consumer Confidence reading for May is estimated to fall to 86.2 versus 87.1 in April.

Other Potential Market Movers
- The BMO Capital North American REIT Conference could also impact trading today.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by metal stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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