Friday, December 07, 2012

Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices
  • S&P 500 1,418.07 +.13%
  • DJIA 13,155.13 +.99%
  • NASDAQ 2,978.04 -1.07%
  • Russell 2000 822.27 +.04%
  • Value Line Geometric(broad market) 358.86 +.21%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 655.53 -.59%
  • Russell 1000 Value 709.84 +.86%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 842.78 +.84%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,005.41 -.21%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 673.26 +1.57%
  • Transports 5,128.06 +.17%
  • Utilities 453.64 -.11%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 89.23 +1.62%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.52 +1.83%
  • Lyxor L/S Equity Long Bias 1,063.64 +.89%
  • Lyxor L/S Equity Variable Bias 807.36 +.35%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 158,529 -.08%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -35 -221
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 31.0 -6.9%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 193,833 +7.7%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,549,067 +1.77%
  • Total Put/Call .80 -31.62%
  • OEX Put/Call .68 -52.78%
  • ISE Sentiment 134.0 +48.9%
  • NYSE Arms .51 -42.05%
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.90 +.19%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.3 +1.10%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.56 +.40%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 10,907.10 -.87%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.644 Trillion +1.2%
  • AAII % Bulls 42.2 +3.15%
  • AAII % Bears 34.6 +.7%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 295.91 -1.03%
  • Crude Oil 85.93 -3.38%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 259.74 -5.03%
  • Natural Gas 3.55 -.64%
  • Heating Oil 291.53 -3.98%
  • Gold 1,705.50 -.55%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 211.88 -.36%
  • Copper 366.30 +1.02%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 349.67 USD/Ton +14.9%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 121.0 USD/Ton +4.67%
  • Lumber 343.20 +.94%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,626.91 +.55%
Economy
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate n/a
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1652 +13.55%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 112.02 +.02%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 50.80 +7.7 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 58.0% chance of no change, 42.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 12/12
  • US Dollar Index 80.41 +.22%
  • Yield Curve 138.0 +1 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.62% unch.
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $2.842 Trillion +.29%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.50 +2.54%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 176.0 -.62%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 109.87 +4.31%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 167.36 -.32%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 140.75 +.53%
  • Iraq Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 450.0 -10.0%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 391.0 +5 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.49% +7 basis points
  • TED Spread 22.75 -.75 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.0 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.75 -1.0 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 96.77 -2.70%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 153.25 -4.34%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 220.16 -7.28%
  • CMBS Super Senior AAA 10-Year Treasury Spread 90.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $2.366 Trillion -1.67%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,035.50 +1.0%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 408,00 +2,700
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.5% -10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.34% +2 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 877.0 +4.54%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -33.8 -.8 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.10% -10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.37/gallon -.03/gallon
  • U.S. Heating Demand Next 7 Days 24.0% below normal
  • Baltic Dry Index 966 -11.05%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,106.28 -1.48%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 241,411 +24.09%
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value +.86%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth -.59%
Leading Sectors
  • Coal +6.19%
  • Disk Drives +4.91%
  • Computer Hardware +4.16%
  • Education +4.09%
  • Construction +2.73%
Lagging Sectors
  • Homebuilders -1.06%
  • Biotech -1.21%
  • Retail -1.36%
  • Oil Tankers -3.63%
  • Gold & Silver -4.77%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (14)
  • MMR, EPHC, PXP, CIE, HITK, ATHN, GEO, SEAC, ESIO, LBTYA, NTLS, VRSN, HMST and NFLX
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (23)
  • MTN, LANC, MW, DG, TPCG, INFA, SYNT, FIVE, RGC, SPLK, GPS, TSRO, FRAN, GWAY, VOLC, DRI, GMED, FIZZ, OXM, VRA, TIBX, FCX and MFRM
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

1 comment:

theyenguy said...

During the week endind December 7, 2012, the Shanghai Shares, $SSEC, traded by CAF, which had been performing very poorly ever since QE1 was introduce, rose 4.1% this week, largely on a rising Yuan, CYB.

Commodities, DBC, and USCI, traded lower, as Precious Metals, JJP, traded lower, as Gold, GLD, fell through a consolidation triangle, and Silver, SLV, traded sharply lower. Spot gold, $GOLD, traded lower to $1,705; support is lower at $1,680 and $1665; support for GLD is 162. Oil, USO, traded lower; and Unleaded Gas, UGA, fell sharply lower. Natural Gas, UNG, fell to support, and its chart looks like it could break sharply lower. Bespoke Investment Group reports Gasoline inventories soar by most in more than 10 years. Base Metals, DBB, traded lower; Copper, JJC, a measure of the Shadow Banking System in China, traded lower. Timber, CUT, traded to a new high.

Total Bonds, BND, traded up to a new high of 84.99, before closing lower this week at 84.81. Peak Debt is being attained.

The Dollar, $USD, UUP, has traded lower over the years since its peak in 2002, on US Central Bank credit liquidity and easing, until it recently rose from $79.00 on September 14, 2012, and is now trading at its 50 day moving average, at $80.42, as the Euro, FXE, rose to a new rally high of 129.99, pushing the Swiss Franc, FXF, to a triple top high of 106.24, before the Euro, traded lower to 128.26. The chart of the world major currencies, DBV, shows that they jumped to a new high of 26.02, and the chart of emerging market currencies, CEW, shows they are approaching their Sept. 14, 2012, high.

The world has passed through Peak Monetization. Generally speaking individual currencies globally are failing to rise higher on debt monetization, that is currency debauchery of the world central banks neoliberal finance. The world is passing through Peak Monetization, meaning that the world central banks are unable to stimulate further global growth and corporate profitability. Debt monetization is no longer able to leverage World Stocks, VT, higher.

The Euro currency, FXE, has peaked out. Monetizing of debt is one of two factors that caused the Euro, FXE, to peak out and trade lower this week; and as result Italy, EWI, and Spain, EWP, traded lower from their rally high and both the European Financials, EUFN, and the European Shares, VGK, manifested bearish harami candlesticks, at the top of ascending wedges, suggesting that the rally in these shares is now complete. The other factor for that caused the Euro to peak out and trade lower, is an ongoing political leadership crisis in both Italy, and in Europe as a whole.

Tje week’s rally and fall in the Euro, FXE, stimulated Peak Currency and Peak Credit. Of note, Peak Stock Wealth, occurred September 14, 2012 as world stocks, VT, topped out.

The Fiat Money System was replaced by The Diktat Money System on December 7, 2012, as the Euro, FXE, traded below 1.30. The failure of neoliberalism’s seigniorage, that is moneyness, has introducing the Age of Austerity and the Age of Debt Servitude, where people will come to trust in the Diktat Money System, where diktat serves as currency, credit, and wealth, as exemplified in Egypt, EGPT, and Argentina, ARGT.