Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Fiscal Cliff Hopes, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Tech Sector Strength

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 15.76 -1.81%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 172.0 +51.0%
  • Total Put/Call .81 -8.99%
  • NYSE Arms 1.01 -5.42%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 94.29 -1.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 151.32 -3.93%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 114.0 bps +.81%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 214.41 bps -1.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.25 -.5 bp
  • TED Spread 24.25 +.75 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 +1.5 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 140.0 +2 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $124.90/Metric Tonne +1.22%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 48.0 -1.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.49 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +39 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -10 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech, medical and biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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