Monday, December 31, 2012

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Fiscal Cliff Optimism, Window-Dressing, Short-Covering, Consumer Discretionary/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 18.45 -18.79%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 123.0 -2.4%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 -.94%
  • NYSE Arms .33 -84.77%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 94.36 -5.1%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 141.32 +.26%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 111.37 +.85%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 207.91 -1.23%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 -.5 bp
  • TED Spread 26.5 -3.75 bps
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 +.5 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 151.0 +6 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $144.90/Metric Tonne +3.95%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 39.9 -7.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.45 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +119 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +6 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech, biotech, retail and medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

No comments: